Match Overview

The Premier League’s 7th-round fixture between Chelsea and Liverpool is scheduled for October 4th at Stamford Bridge in London. This preview delves into the Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction, including odds, statistics, and a recommended bet.

Chelsea Overview

Chelsea’s Recent Form

Following a six-match unbeaten run in the league (four wins, two draws), the London side suffered consecutive defeats, first against Manchester United (1-2) and then Brighton (1-3). Notably, Enzo Maresca’s squad has conceded in four of their last five Premier League outings, letting in at least two goals in three of those matches. With a total of 8 goals conceded, only Brighton (9) among the top-half teams has a worse defensive record. These recent losses have seen Chelsea slip to 8th place in the standings.

Key Chelsea Statistics

• At least one goal was scored in both halves in Chelsea’s last 5 Premier League matches.
• The club has avoided defeat in 12 of their last 13 home league games (9 wins, 3 draws).
• In 7 of their last 9 home fixtures in this tournament, Chelsea scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.

Chelsea’s Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)*

Robert Sanchez – Reece James, Jorrel Hato, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, Andrey Santos – Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro Jesus, Estevao.

Chelsea Team News

Injuries for the team include defenders Wesley Fofana, Tosin Adarabioyo, Levi Colwill, midfielders Cole Palmer, Dariu Essougu, and forward Liam Delap. Defender Trevoh Chalobah is suspended for the match.

Liverpool Overview

Liverpool’s Current Standing

Arne Slot’s side suffered their first defeat of the current season in the previous round, losing 1-2 to Crystal Palace. This result ended a five-match winning streak in the Premier League for Liverpool. Despite this, their scoring streak in the tournament now stands at an impressive 40 matches. With 12 goals scored, the club ranks among the top three most prolific teams in the 2025/26 Premier League, though eight opponents have conceded fewer goals. The team maintains its league leadership, but their advantage over the closest contender has narrowed to just two points.

Key Liverpool Statistics

• Both teams scored in 9 of Liverpool’s last 11 league matches.
• The team has not drawn in their last 8 away Premier League fixtures (4 wins, 4 losses).
• In 5 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, the club conceded at least two goals.

Liverpool’s Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)*

Alisson Becker – Milos Kerkez, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk, Conor Bradley – Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Ryan Gravenberch – Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak.

Liverpool Team News

Defender Giovanni Leoni and goalkeeper Alisson Becker are currently injured.

Match Official

Anthony Taylor (England)

Matches officiated – 5 (Premier League, 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 16;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties awarded – 20%.

Chelsea vs Liverpool Match Prediction

Chelsea’s September Struggles

September proved to be a challenging month for Chelsea. Enzo Maresca’s men failed to secure a single victory, despite facing mid-table opposition. Compounding their woes, Chelsea conceded seven goals during this period. So far this season, the club has managed only two clean sheets, and those were against less prolific attacking sides. However, the Londoners have found the net in their last five Premier League fixtures, failing to score in only one of their last eight EPL matches, that being against Crystal Palace, who boast one of the league’s most solid defenses this season.

Liverpool’s Scoring Prowess and Defensive Concerns

Liverpool last failed to score in the Premier League back in mid-September 2024. Furthermore, the team has a remarkable away scoring record, finding the net in 24 consecutive matches in this competition. It’s unlikely that their potent attack will be thwarted by their upcoming opponent. However, Arne Slot’s squad will find it challenging to keep a clean sheet, as the club has conceded in 9 of their last 11 Premier League outings.

Head-to-Head and Final Verdict

It’s also worth noting that both teams have scored in 6 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters in the league. This statistic further supports the prediction of ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’.

Author: Alexey Tarabrin