Match Overview

The Premier League 5th-round match between Burnley and Nottingham Forest is scheduled for September 20th at Turf Moor stadium. This preview offers a detailed analysis, including predictions, betting odds, and statistics for the Burnley vs Nottingham Forest encounter.

Burnley’s Current Form

Scott Parker’s squad came agonizingly close to securing a draw against the league leaders in their last outing. Playing at home against Liverpool, the club suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat, conceding the decisive penalty goal in the 95th minute. This result marked their sixth loss in the previous seven Premier League matches. Currently, Burnley sits with just 3 points, marginally ahead of the closest contender in the relegation zone solely due to a superior goal difference.

Burnley’s Key Statistics

• At least 3 goals were scored in 5 of the club’s last 7 Premier League games.
• Both teams found the net in 11 of Burnley’s last 15 league matches.
• At home, the team has managed only 2 victories in their last 13 Premier League fixtures (with 4 draws and 7 defeats).

Burnley’s Provisional Lineup (4-3-3)*

Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Kvilindsi Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal – Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu – Jadon Anthony, Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen.

Nottingham Forest’s Recent Performance

Following a 0-3 home defeat against West Ham, the club’s management decided to dismiss Nuno Espírito Santo. However, the change of manager to Ange Postecoglou has not yet yielded positive results, as Nottingham Forest suffered another 0-3 loss away to Arsenal in their very next match. Consequently, the club is currently in 15th place with 4 points. It’s also worth noting that in their last 9 Premier League matches, the team has secured only 2 victories (alongside 3 draws and 4 defeats).

Nottingham Forest’s Key Statistics

• Exactly two or three goals were scored in 7 of their last 10 league matches.
• Both teams scored in 8 of Nottingham Forest’s last 9 away games in the Premier League.
• Nottingham Forest has only secured 1 second-half victory in their last 11 Premier League matches (with 3 draws and 7 defeats).

Nottingham Forest’s Provisional Lineup (4-3-3)*

Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Murillo, Nikola Milenkovic, Neco Williams – Elliot Anderson, Morgan Gibbs-White, Ibrahim Sangare – Dan Ndoye, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Chris Wood.

Match Referee

Thomas Bramall (England)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated – 13 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 23%.

Burnley vs Nottingham Forest Match Prediction

Both teams are firmly focused on securing a victory in this upcoming fixture. Their current form has been underwhelming, and they desperately need three points to avoid getting stuck in the lower half of the league table, from where it would be challenging to recover. So far, matches involving these teams in the championship have been goal-rich: Burnley’s games average 2.8 goals, while Nottingham Forest’s average 3 goals.

It is also noteworthy that at least 3 goals were scored in 5 of Burnley’s last 7 matches, and in 9 of Nottingham Forest’s last 11 away games in the Premier League. Furthermore, the last encounter between these opponents at Turf Moor in the league ended in a 2-1 victory for the visitors. Given these factors, it seems unlikely that either team will adopt a defensive approach, suggesting we can anticipate an exciting and high-scoring confrontation.

Our Betting Tip

My prediction is “Total Goals Over 2.5” with odds of 2.00

Author: Olexandr Oleksenko

* The starting lineup listed for each team is from their previous match in this tournament.