Match Overview and Prediction Focus

The 6th round match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification tournament between the national teams of Poland and Finland is scheduled for September 7 at the Silesian Stadium in Chorzów. This preview will delve into the prediction, odds, and key statistics for the Poland vs. Finland clash.

Poland: Team Analysis and Current Form

Currently, Group G sees a three-way tie at the top, with three teams accumulating 7 points each. However, the Netherlands hold the lead, having played one less match, while Poland occupies the second spot, edging out Finland on goal difference. Poland has been unable to secure a victory in their last two consecutive qualifying matches, both of which were away fixtures. In June, they suffered a 1-2 defeat against Finland, and in the previous round, they surprisingly drew 1-1 with the Netherlands on Dutch soil.

Poland: Key Qualifying Statistics

• In their last 12 World Cup qualification matches, Poland has suffered only 2 defeats (with 8 wins and 2 draws).
• Exactly two or three goals were scored in 5 of Poland’s last 6 matches in this tournament.
• The team has secured victories in 11 of their last 13 home World Cup qualifiers.

Poland’s Provisional Lineup (4-5-1)*

Łukasz Skorupski – Matty Cash, Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Przemysław Wiśniewski – Sebastian Szymański, Jakub Kamiński, Bartosz Slisz, Nicola Zalewski, Piotr Zieliński – Robert Lewandowski.

Finland: Team Analysis and Recent Performance

Jakob Friis’s squad did not participate in Round 5, instead playing a friendly match against Norway, which they lost 0-1. In the main group stage, the national team currently holds third place, accumulating the same number of points as both Poland and the Netherlands. It’s worth noting that Finland remains undefeated away from home in this qualifying campaign, boasting a 1-0 victory over Malta and a 2-2 draw with Lithuania.

Finland: Key Qualifying Statistics

• Finland has avoided defeat in 12 of their last 16 World Cup qualification matches (7 wins and 5 draws).
• The team has scored in 14 of their last 17 World Cup qualifying fixtures.
• Finland maintains a four-match unbeaten streak away from home in this tournament (3 wins and 1 draw).

Finland’s Provisional Lineup (4-4-2)*

Lukas Hradecky – Jere Uronen, Matti Peltola, Miro Tenho, Arttu Hoskonen – Kaan Kairinen, Robin Lod, Glen Kamara, Fredrik Jensen – Joel Pohjanpalo, Oliver Antman.

Match Official Details

Rade Obrenovič (Slovenia)

Referee Statistics (2024–2025 International Matches)

Matches officiated – 12;

Yellow Cards Displayed

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;

Average Yellow Cards per Match

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red Cards Displayed

Red cards shown – 1;

Average Fouls per Match

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties Awarded

Penalties – 17%.

Poland vs Finland: Match Prediction

If the Polish team harbors ambitions of securing first place in their group, it is imperative that they avoid dropping any more points against lower-ranked opponents. In their initial encounter, Finland emerged victorious with a 2-1 scoreline, providing Jan Urban’s squad a prime opportunity to exact revenge on their rivals and extend their lead over Finland in the battle for at least second place in the standings.

Poland’s Strong Home Form and Goal-Scoring Prowess

Poland exhibits significant strength when playing on home turf. In their last 13 home World Cup qualifiers, the national team has clinched 11 victories, drawing with England and suffering a single defeat to Hungary. Notably, in this impressive run, the Poles have scored at least two goals on 10 occasions. Therefore, I anticipate the home side will emerge triumphant in the upcoming fixture.

My Final Prediction

My prediction for this match is a “Poland Win” with odds of 1.63

Important Note on Lineups

* The starting lineup listed for each team reflects their formation in their previous match in this tournament.