Penarol — River Plate Montevideo : Match Preview and Prediction for August 25,2025

Peñarol’s Recent Setbacks

Peñarol approaches this fixture reeling from a devastating blow. Just days ago, the team suffered a dramatic elimination from the Copa Libertadores, conceding a decisive 94th-minute goal against Argentine side Racing, leading to a 1-3 defeat. Such an outcome undoubtedly leaves a deep mark on both the physical and psychological state of the players.

Struggling Form and Performance Trends

This Libertadores exit isn’t an isolated incident. Prior to their trip to Argentina, Peñarol lost 1-2 to Boston River in the domestic league. Two consecutive defeats are no longer a coincidence but a clear indication of the current issues plaguing Diego Aguirre’s team. A notable trend emerges: in 5 of their last 6 matches, the team has failed to win by more than a single goal margin, highlighting a struggle for convincing victories.

Critical Squad Limitations

The situation is further compounded by significant personnel losses. Key attacking midfielder Leonardo Fernández is still recovering from a knee ligament strain, and his participation in this match remains questionable. Additionally, defender Emanuel Gularte sustained an ankle ligament sprain in the game against Racing and might also miss the encounter. These are serious blows to the squad that cannot be overlooked.

River Plate’s Crisis and Coaching Change

Indeed, River Plate finds itself in a deep crisis. The team currently anchors the relegation table, and recent results offer little optimism. However, it is precisely in such dire situations that changes often occur, and a significant one has. The club has just appointed a new coach: Raúl Salazar has replaced Julio Ribas, and this match will mark his debut.

Tactical Shift Under New Leadership

A change in the coaching hot seat always serves as a jolt for the team. Salazar, a former player for the club, will undoubtedly begin his tenure by building a solid defense. Against a powerhouse like Peñarol, his primary objective will be to prevent a heavy defeat, implying we’re likely to see a highly disciplined and focused River Plate.

Impressive Away Resilience

The most compelling argument in favor of the visitors is their away performance. Statistics speak for themselves: in 12 of their 13 previous away matches, River Plate did not lose by more than a single goal margin. This team knows how to dig deep when playing on the road, even when not in their best form.