Match Overview and Forecast
The second-round Serie A fixture between Parma and Atalanta is scheduled for August 30 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. This analysis provides a unique match forecast, including insights into team form, relevant statistics, and a final prediction.
Parma’s Current State
Carlos Cuesta’s squad began their campaign with a 0-2 away defeat against Juventus, failing to secure any points. This result extends Parma’s winless streak to 11 of their last 13 Serie A matches, comprising 7 draws and 4 losses. Furthermore, the club failed to score for the sixth time in this period. Parma currently occupies a position in the lower quarter of the league table, with only Torino below them on goal difference.
Squad Reinforcement
Ahead of this crucial matchday, forward Gaetano Oristanio has joined the team, bolstering their attacking options.
- Parma has not secured a victory in 7 of their last 9 home Serie A matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 11 home league encounters.
- Parma has conceded no more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 home Serie A fixtures.
Parma’s Expected Starting Line-up (3-5-2)*
Zion Suzuki – Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Del Prato – Mathias Lövik, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Christian Ordóñez, Emanuele Valeri – Mateo Pellegrino, Pontus Almqvist.
Parma Injury Update
Forward Matija Frigan is unavailable for this match due to injury.
Atalanta’s Current Condition
In their first league match, Ivan Juric’s side could only manage a 1-1 home draw against Pisa, failing to overcome their opponents. This marks Atalanta’s second consecutive Serie A match without a win (following a previous loss) and the first time in five league outings that they have scored less than two goals. Additionally, the Bergamaschi have conceded goals in their last four Serie A fixtures. The club currently has one point, placing them in the middle of the league standings.
- Atalanta has won 7 of their last 8 away Serie A matches.
- The club has scored at least three goals in 5 of their last 7 away league encounters.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of Atalanta’s last 7 away Serie A matches.
Atalanta’s Expected Starting Line-up (3-4-3)*
Marco Carnesecchi – Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Mario Pasalic, Nicola Zalewski – Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Daniel Maldini.
Atalanta Injury Update
Defender Sead Kolasinac will miss the match due to injury.
Match Official
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Referee Statistics: Matches Overseen
Matches – 18 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Referee Statistics: Cards Issued
Yellow Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 68;
Referee Statistics: Average Yellow Cards
Average Yellow Cards per Match – 3.8;
Referee Statistics: Red Cards Issued
Red Cards Shown – 3;
Referee Statistics: Fouls Per Game
Average Fouls per Match – 26;
Referee Statistics: Penalties Awarded
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Parma vs Atalanta
Analyzing Parma’s Home Form
In the previous championship season, Parma’s home performances were not particularly impressive. Throughout the entire last Serie A campaign, the club suffered eight defeats in home matches and managed only five wins – a record worse than only four other teams. Furthermore, Parma conceded 28 goals at home in the last league season, outperforming only three clubs in this metric.
Analyzing Atalanta’s Away Strength
Atalanta, on the other hand, has recently shown stronger performances away from home compared to their own stadium: the team has secured seven victories in their last eight away Serie A fixtures. Additionally, the Bergamaschi accumulated the most points away from home in the previous championship season (42). It is also noteworthy that Atalanta emerged victorious in all four of their previous head-to-head encounters on Parma’s ground in the league.
Final Verdict and Recommended Bet
I anticipate that the Bergamaschi will successfully bounce back from their challenging start to the current Serie A season. My prediction: Atalanta Win.
Important Line-up Note
* The indicated starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.