Nicaragua — Costa Rica : Match Preview and Prediction for October 27,2025

Match Prediction & Betting Odds: Nicaragua vs Costa Rica

According to bookmakers’ projections, the Costa Rica national team is considered the clear favorite for this upcoming fixture. Odds for their victory stand at 1.70, implying an approximate success probability of 59%. Nicaragua’s chances of winning are set at 5.97 (a 17% probability), while a draw is estimated to be around 3.80–4.00. Given both teams’ current form and their performance statistics in the qualification cycle, a wager on Costa Rica’s triumph appears to be the most advantageous choice for this match.

Current Standings and Team Motivation

This match is a key fixture within Group B of the third qualifying round for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Nicaragua currently holds the second position in the group with a record of 2 wins and 1 loss. In contrast, Costa Rica sits atop the group, despite not having played any matches in this particular stage yet. For Nicaragua, this game represents a vital opportunity to solidify their position in the qualification zone. However, Costa Rica is traditionally regarded as one of the CONCACAF region’s strongest squads and will be determined to kick off their group stage campaign with a convincing victory.

Team Performance Statistics

Throughout the current qualification cycle, Nicaragua has displayed modest offensive output, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.3 goals. These figures highlight existing challenges in their attacking play and suggest a somewhat vulnerable defense. Costa Rica, conversely, boasts significantly superior statistics, netting an average of 2.9 goals and allowing just 0.9 goals per match. This pronounced statistical disparity underscores the significant difference in quality and preparation levels between the two contenders.

Head-to-Head Encounters

In their most recent six direct confrontations, Costa Rica has emerged victorious in 50% of the matches. Another 17% of these games ended in a draw, with Nicaragua securing wins in only 33% of the encounters. It’s crucial to note, however, that the majority of Costa Rica’s victories were achieved with a margin of more than one goal, further reinforcing their status as the pre-match favorite.

Tactical Analysis

Costa Rica traditionally emphasizes ball possession and swift wide attacks, a strategy that consistently generates numerous scoring opportunities against opponents. The team is known for its well-organized defense and its ability to transition rapidly from defense to attack. Nicaragua, on the other hand, tends to adopt a more conservative approach, often playing on the counter-attack and relying on set pieces. However, executing such tactics effectively against Costa Rica’s disciplined defense is expected to be exceedingly challenging.

Potential Injuries and Squad Absences

As of the time of this prediction’s preparation, there has been no information reported regarding significant injuries or suspensions within either team’s squad. Costa Rica is anticipated to field their optimal lineup for the match, which further enhances their prospects of securing a favorable result.

Betting Odds and Recommendations

• Costa Rica Win — 1.70
• Draw — 3.80–4.00
• Nicaragua Win — 5.97

Considering the disparity in team quality, offensive and defensive statistics, and current tournament motivation, placing a bet on Costa Rica’s victory remains the most logically sound option. For those seeking higher odds, alternatives such as “Costa Rica Win with a -1 Handicap” or “Costa Rica to Score Over 1.5 Goals” could be considered, especially given their average scoring rate in the ongoing qualification campaign.

Additional Betting Opportunities

• Costa Rica Individual Total Goals Over 1.5 — This is a justified bet, considering their average of 2.9 goals per game.
• Both Teams to Score — No. Nicaragua scores less than one goal per match, and Costa Rica’s defense is quite reliable.

Concluding Thoughts

A wager on Costa Rica to win is the optimal choice for this match, taking into account both statistical data and the teams’ current form. Alternative betting options might include the visitors’ individual goal total or a handicap victory for them. Risky bets on a Nicaragua triumph or a draw lack sufficient statistical justification and carry a low probability of success.