Toronto FC — Montreal : Match Preview and Prediction for August 31,2025

Current Form: A Dismal State for Toronto FC

The club approaches this Canadian derby in a rather dismal state. Their recent results consist of a string of draws, which are failing to secure the necessary points. A glance at their home match statistics speaks volumes: Toronto FC has failed to win in 16 of their last 18 home games. This isn’t just bad luck; it’s a systemic issue.

Offensive Struggles: A Toothless Attack

The team’s attack appears utterly toothless. Over the last five league rounds, they have managed to score only two goals – the worst record in the league. The departure of key players like Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi has left a significant void in their offensive capabilities, one that they have yet to successfully fill. Even in their last game against Atlanta, where their xG (1.01) suggested Toronto should have scored, the final score remained a disappointing 0-0.

Lack of Clinical Finishing & Attacking Woes

Newcomers, such as Djordje Mihailovic, are putting in effort, but it’s simply not enough. The team creates chances, but their finishing remains non-existent. Season statistics corroborate this: a mere 11 goals scored in 14 home games are figures befitting a struggling outsider, not a team aiming for victory in a crucial derby.

Montreal’s Resurgence: A Commanding Performance

A completely different picture emerges for the visitors. Montreal approaches this encounter after a spirited and high-scoring 3-2 comeback victory over Austin. This result clearly indicates that the team’s attack is in excellent order. In that match, Montreal’s players unleashed 13 shots, with 7 on target, and their expected goals (xG) metric reached an impressive 1.96.

Squad Reinforcement: Key New Signing

A crucial factor is the strengthening of their squad. The club has just signed attacking midfielder Iván Jaime from Porto. This is a quality addition, capable of making a significant difference in attack. His arrival will undoubtedly add creativity and sharpness upfront, precisely what their opponents are lacking.

Resilience and Strong Away Form

Even with some personnel losses, Montreal finds the resilience to accumulate points. The team has remained undefeated in 5 of their last 7 matches. Their character in away games is particularly noteworthy: in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures in the current tournament, Montreal has managed to secure at least a draw.