Necaxa — Cruz Azul : Match Preview and Prediction for October 22,2025
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Necaxa
Home Advantage: Necaxa’s Strength at Victoria Stadium
Yes, Necaxa currently sits in 17th place in the league table. And yes, they’ve suffered four consecutive defeats. However, it’s too soon to write them off. Let’s delve deeper into the statistics rather than just looking at their raw league position. The crucial element here is their home ground, Estadio Victoria. It’s at home where Necaxa truly transforms. The cold, hard facts speak volumes: they have avoided defeat in 13 out of their last 18 home matches. This is a significant trend that cannot be overlooked.
Necaxa’s Attacking Prowess and Key Player Form
Consider their previous fixture against Tigres. Despite a 3-5 loss, scoring three goals away against one of the league’s top teams is a strong indicator of their offensive capabilities. Forward Diber Cambindo stands out particularly; a former Cruz Azul player, he netted a brace and is in excellent form. He will undoubtedly be exceptionally motivated playing against his former club.
Solid Home Defense: Necaxa’s Defensive Resilience
Furthermore, despite their challenging league standing, Necaxa’s home defense has been remarkably solid. In their last 5 home league matches, they have conceded just 4 goals – the second-best record in the league over that period. This demonstrates the team’s ability to regroup and play disciplined defense when at home.
League Table
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Tomás Jacob Starting Defender
13 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 4 out since1 match missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Iván Rodríguez Starting Midfielder14 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 4 out since1 match missed
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul’s Post-Derby Challenges
“La Máquina” currently occupies second place, having just secured a 2-1 victory in the “Clásico Joven” against América. While this appears formidable, these are precisely the details that can pose a trap for a favorite. Derby wins demand immense physical and mental energy, and the subsequent match, particularly away from home against a resilient opponent, often proves to be a stumbling block.
Cruz Azul’s Struggles on the Road
Let’s once again turn to the facts. Cruz Azul’s away performances are markedly different from their home showings. They have failed to secure a victory in 11 of their last 16 away matches. This long-standing trend clearly indicates that “La Máquina” faces significant challenges when playing on the road.
Team Dynamics and Injury Concerns for Cruz Azul
Yes, important defender Gonzalo Piovi returns to the squad after suspension. However, recent reports that key players Kevin Mier and Willer Ditta were benched in the last round due to late returns from international duty hint at a less than ideal team atmosphere. Such issues don’t go unnoticed and can impact team chemistry at a crucial juncture. Moreover, Cruz Azul rarely thrashes its opponents; their victories are often secured by minimal margins.
League Table
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Andrés Montaño Reserve Midfielder0 matches played0 goals scoredMay 12 out since22 matches missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Gonzalo Piovi Key Defender22 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 5 out since1 match missed
Conclusion: The Underdog’s Home Advantage
Bookmakers and most so-called experts view Cruz Azul as the clear favorite. However, I propose we look at the statistics and prevailing trends rather than just focusing on team names and league positions. On one side, we have Necaxa, a team that has avoided defeat in 13 of its last 18 home matches and boasts one of the league’s best home defenses recently.
Mark Thompson
