Mazatlan — Santos Laguna : Match Preview and Prediction for October 22,2025

Mazatlan’s Home Advantage

Mazatlán consistently earns the vast majority of its points when playing on home turf. A striking 9 out of 11 points in the current Apertura campaign have been secured within their own stadium. This is a team that truly transforms and elevates its performance in front of its home crowd. While they recently suffered an away defeat of 0-2 against Guadalajara, it’s crucial to acknowledge that Chivas is currently in exceptional form, boasting a streak of four consecutive victories. Losing to such a formidable opponent on their home ground is by no means a catastrophe for Mazatlán.Far more significantly, Mazatlán previously achieved a hard-fought comeback victory at home against Atlético San Luis with a score of 2-1. Furthermore, their last head-to-head encounter with Santos Laguna ended in a 1-1 draw, but a closer look at the xG (expected goals) statistics reveals a compelling 2.50 to 0.57 in favor of Mazatlán. On that occasion, the hosts generated significantly more scoring opportunities and truly should have clinched all three points. Adding to their strength, defender Lucas Merolla is set to return to the squad after serving his suspension, which will undoubtedly bolster their defensive line-up.

Santos Laguna’s Away Day Woes

Now, let’s turn our attention to the visiting team. Santos Laguna’s performance when playing away from home is nothing short of catastrophic. The statistics paint a stark picture: the team has suffered defeats in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. In the current season, the “Warriors” have yet to register a single victory in their six away matches, highlighting their severe struggles on the road.Indeed, they secured a 2-0 win against Leon in the previous round, but do not let the final score deceive you. Santos conceded possession (only 38% of the ball), allowed their opponents a staggering 21 shots on goal, 11 of which were on target. Goalkeeper Carlos Acevedo was forced to make an impressive 11 saves to keep a clean sheet. This hardly reflects the playing style of a team in control of the game; rather, it appears to be a fortunate escape, largely attributed to heroic goalkeeping.Prior to this recent victory, Santos Laguna endured a string of defeats, including a crushing 0-3 loss to America. Let’s consider the broader context: Santos Laguna ranks first in the league for shots conceded per match (18.46), first for shots on target conceded per match (6.31), and first for big chances conceded. This team’s defense is notoriously porous, a fact consistently supported by their season-long statistics. Furthermore, they lead the league in red cards, indicating significant disciplinary issues within the squad.