Atlas — Juarez : Match Preview and Prediction for October 04,2025

Atlas’s Goal-Filled Performances

Looking at Atlas’s last match, we see a thrilling 3-2 victory against Necaxa. This isn’t a fluke but a pattern. “Los Zorros” ended their dreadful winless streak in their characteristic style – through open football with plenty of scoring opportunities at both ends. The statistics from that game speak for themselves: the two teams combined for 24 shots, with 13 on target. The cumulative xG (expected goals) reached 3.49, indicating the match was destined to be a high-scoring affair.

Home Form and Defensive Issues

This goal-scoring spectacle at their home stadium, “Jalisco,” is not an anomaly. There’s a clear trend: Atlas’s last five home matches have all seen at least three goals scored. Expanding the sample, over 2.5 goals have been netted in 11 of their last 14 games. The reason is evident: the team’s defense is a revolving door, the worst in the league. They have conceded 26 goals in 11 rounds, an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Defensive Vulnerabilities and Key Absences

The defensive statistics loudly highlight their problems. Atlas allows more shots on their goal than any other team in the Primera Division. They rank last in shots on target conceded and opponent key passes allowed. Any attacking team finds freedom when playing against them. Adding to these woes are personnel losses: the participation of captain and key defensive midfielder Aldo Rocha, as well as defender Rober Pierre, is questionable. Their absence will further weaken an already fragile defensive structure.

Juarez’s Impressive Attacking Form

Juarez approaches this match in excellent attacking form. The team has secured two consecutive victories, defeating Leon 2-0 and Pumas 3-1. Over the last few rounds, “Los Bravos” have scored 9 goals, indicative of their strong offensive prowess. These aren’t just narrow wins, but games where the team actively creates chances. Against Leon, they registered 18 shots on goal and amassed an xG of 2.27, suggesting they could have scored even more than two.

Away Performances and Goal-Scoring Trend

Juarez doesn’t merely sit back defensively when playing away from home. Statistics support this: at least three goals have been scored in 4 of their last 6 away matches. Martin Varini’s team knows how to find their opportunities on opponent’s pitches, especially against teams that allow them space to play. Their recent game against Cruz Azul ended 3-2, another example of Juarez engaging in high-scoring contests.

Offensive Threat Against a Weak Defense

Juarez’s attack currently looks very convincing. They are effectively converting their chances, as demonstrated by their three-goal victory over Pumas. Against the league’s most porous defense, they will have every opportunity to score, and most likely, more than once.