Ferroviaria — Cuiaba : Match Preview and Prediction for September 02,2025

Ferroviaria’s Current Momentum

Ferroviaria is currently in excellent form, having gone undefeated for six consecutive rounds. This impressive run has propelled them six points clear of the relegation zone, solidifying their position in 13th place. This significant surge can be directly attributed to the precise tactical adjustments implemented by coach Vinicius Bergantin.

Tactical Shift and Defensive Fortification

The key to their success lies in the adoption of a three-central-midfielder formation. This strategic decision has yielded remarkable results: in their last six matches, Ferroviaria has conceded only 3 goals, a stark contrast to the 11 goals they allowed in the six games prior. These statistics clearly demonstrate a significantly more organized and robust defense.

Offensive Potential and Home Advantage

Their previous encounter against Volta Redonda ended in a 0-0 draw, but this goalless stalemate shouldn’t be misleading. Ferroviaria’s Expected Goals (xG) stood at 1.88, having created four clear-cut scoring opportunities. This indicates that their attack is functional and generating chances; they merely lacked the finishing touch, which is expected to return when playing on home turf.

Cuiaba’s Current Struggles

Cuiaba, on the other hand, finds itself in a dramatically different reality. The team has secured just one victory in their last five matches and approaches this fixture with a three-game winless streak. Their mid-table position (10th place) is deceptive, as a clear decline in form is evident.

Dismal Away Performance

Cuiaba’s away record is particularly disheartening. “The Golden Ones” haven’t managed an away victory since May, a fact underscored by their position in the away-game league table: they sit 15th with only two wins in 12 matches. This is undeniably one of the worst away performances across the league.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Exposed

Defensive issues represent another critical factor that cannot be overlooked. Coach Eduardo Barros himself openly acknowledges the urgent need to “rectify the number of goals conceded.” His statements are reinforced by statistics: in six of their last eight games, Cuiaba conceded the first goal. Their previous match against Atletico GO (a 2-2 draw) once again brought all their defensive frailties to light, as they allowed two goals from just three shots on target.