Match Overview
The Premier League Matchday 3 fixture between Manchester United and Burnley is set for August 30th at Old Trafford. This preview provides an in-depth look at the Manchester United vs. Burnley encounter, including a detailed prediction, betting odds, and key statistics.
Manchester United’s Current Form
Manchester United currently holds just one point after two rounds of the Premier League. The Red Devils secured their first league point in their last outing, drawing 1-1 away to Fulham. Prior to that, Ruben Amorim’s squad suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Arsenal. Notably, over their last 11 Premier League matches, the team has managed only one victory, alongside three draws and seven losses. Midweek saw them participate in the League Cup Round of 32, where they historically lost to a fourth-tier opponent.
Key Statistics for Manchester United
- No more than two goals were scored in Manchester United’s last five Premier League matches.
- Manchester United failed to win in five of their last six home Premier League fixtures (two draws, three defeats).
- The team scored no more than one goal in five of their last six home league games.
Manchester United’s Predicted Lineup
**Manchester United Probable XI (4-3-3):** Altay Bayindir – Leny Yoro, Matthijs de Ligt, Luke Shaw, Patrick Dorgu – Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Mason Mount – Bryan Mbeumo, Amad Diallo, Matheus Cunha.
Defenders Lisandro Martinez and Noussair Mazraoui are sidelined due to injuries.
Burnley’s Season Start
Scott Parker’s side had a challenging start to their Premier League campaign, succumbing to a 0-3 away defeat against Tottenham. However, they quickly recovered in their second match, securing a convincing 2-0 home victory against Sunderland. It’s worth noting that prior to this win, Burnley had been winless in five Premier League outings (one draw, four losses).
Burnley’s Performance Indicators
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in six of the club’s last eight league matches.
- Both teams found the net in 10 of Burnley’s previous 13 Premier League encounters.
- Away from home, the team has registered just one win in their last 11 Premier League fixtures (three draws, seven defeats).
Burnley’s Predicted Lineup
**Burnley Probable XI (4-4-2):** Martin Dubravka – Kyle Walker, Kvilindzy Hartman, Maxim Esteve, Hjalmar Ekdal – Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Jaden Anthony – Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen.
Match Official
Referee: Samuel Barrott (England)
Matches officiated – 24 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 112;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties awarded – 21%.
Match Prediction: Manchester United vs. Burnley
Despite Manchester United’s distinctly underwhelming performance metrics, bookmakers continue to favor them, offering low odds for a home win. This presents an opportunity, as the visiting side is not significantly outmatched by today’s Manchester United in terms of quality or player roster. I anticipate that even if Ruben Amorim’s men secure a victory in this fixture, it will be by the narrowest of margins.
The Red Devils have won by a margin of two or more goals in only one of their last nine home Premier League matches. Furthermore, they have scored more than one goal just three times in their last 12 home league outings. While Burnley’s away form isn’t stellar, they have avoided defeat by more than a single goal in six of their last seven Premier League away games. Additionally, in the last seven head-to-head matches at Old Trafford in the Premier League, Manchester United has secured a two-goal victory only twice.
My prediction is “Burnley Asian Handicap (+1.5)” with odds of 1.86
* The starting lineup listed for each team refers to their previous match in this tournament.