Match Preview and Key Statistics

The 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier, Matchday 6, will see Luxembourg host Slovakia on September 7th at the Stade de Luxembourg. This detailed preview provides a match prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Luxembourg vs. Slovakia encounter.

Luxembourg’s Current Form

Luxembourg commenced their qualification campaign with a 1-3 home defeat against Northern Ireland. Over their last six World Cup qualifiers, the team has suffered five losses, managing only a single victory. Notably, in four of these matches, they conceded at least three goals. Furthermore, Luxembourg has struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last eight World Cup qualifying fixtures. Currently, Jeff Strasser’s squad sits in 3rd place in Group A, ahead of Germany due to superior tie-breakers.

• At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg’s last 8 World Cup qualifying matches.
• At home in this tournament, the national team has failed to win in 9 of their last 11 matches (1 draw, 8 losses).
• The team has found the net in 6 of their last 9 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Luxembourg’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)*

Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Seid Korac, Dirk Carlson, Enes Mahmutovic – Danel Sinani, Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Florian Bohnert, Thomas Moreira – Aiman Dardari.

Defender Seid Korac is suspended.

Slovakia’s Performance Analysis

In their previous fixture, Slovakia secured a 2-0 home victory against Germany, extending their unbeaten streak in World Cup qualifiers to four matches (2 wins, 2 draws). The team has displayed strong attacking prowess, scoring at least two goals in all these encounters. However, Slovakia’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in 7 of their last 10 World Cup qualifying games. With 3 points, Francesco Calzona’s men currently hold 2nd place in Group A.

• At least one opponent has failed to score in 5 of Slovakia’s last 7 World Cup qualifying matches.
• On the road, the team has not won in 6 of their last 7 World Cup qualifying matches (3 draws, 3 losses).
• The national team has scored more than one goal in only 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.

Slovakia’s Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)*

Martin Dubravka – Milan Skriniar, David Hancko, Norbert Gyömbér, Lubomir Satka – Ondrej Duda, Stanislav Lobotka, Matús Bero – David Strelec, David Duris, Leo Sauer.

Match Referee Profile

Nick Walsh (Scotland)

Matches officiated – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 28;

Penalties awarded – 25%.

Luxembourg vs Slovakia Match Prediction

Luxembourg, while not expected to seriously challenge for a World Cup spot, surely didn’t plan on finishing last in their group. To avoid this, they needed points from their home game against Northern Ireland. In my opinion, neither of these two teams will contend for the top two spots. However, Jeff Strasser’s side lost that crucial match. Now, they face an even stronger opponent, making it even harder for the hosts to achieve a positive result. Additionally, Luxembourg has lost 8 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifying matches.

Slovakia’s away record in World Cup qualifiers hasn’t been stellar, but they now have an excellent opportunity to improve those statistics. The team is in good form, having lost only 2 of their last 11 matches in this tournament (5 wins, 5 draws). Importantly, Slovakia has no issues with goal conversion: in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifiers, the national team scored at least twice. This factor should prove decisive against a Luxembourg side that concedes frequently.

My prediction: “Slovakia will not lose and Total Goals Over 1.5” with odds of 1.68

* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is indicated.