Ligue 1 2025-2026 Betting
French Ligue 1 of the 2025-26 season presents a unique picture of absolute dominance by one club with a relatively open fight for the remaining prize places. Paris Saint-Germain has overwhelming superiority, while traditional competitors try to find ways to reduce the giant gap with the Parisian giant.
A feature of the current season has been the formation of a clear hierarchy among the pursuers: Monaco and Marseille make up the second group of contenders, Lille and Lyon fight for places in European competitions, while the rest of the championship teams focus on the fight for survival and getting to the middle of the table.
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Championship Chances for Ligue 1 Teams
Bookmakers virtually exclude the possibility of a sensation, viewing the Parisians’ championship as a technical formality.
Ligue 1 25-26
Paris Saint-Germain with odds of 1.10-1.163 is the undisputed favorite of the title race. Such quotes are extremely rare in top championships and reflect the radical restructuring of the club, which has regained its status as the absolute hegemon of French football.
Monaco (12.0-12.5) occupies second place in the bookmakers’ line, but the huge gap with PSG shows that the principality is fighting more for second place in the championship than for the title. The Monegasques have a quality squad but cannot compete with the Parisians’ resources.
Olympique Marseille (13.5-15.0) is traditionally considered PSG’s main competitor in the fight for French fans’ attention, but the odds show that the era of real rivalry has ended. The chronic instability of the Provençals in key matches and limited financial opportunities have created an insurmountable gulf with the leader.
Lille (23-24) closes the group of theoretical title contenders. The northerners have experience of victories over PSG in championship races, but their current odds reflect the real state of affairs – the fight is not for the championship, but for the right to be called the best team after the Parisians.
Lyon (26) and Nice (34-35) have purely symbolic chances of victory, which shows the depth of the competition crisis in French football. The rest of the championship teams received odds at the level of 100+, which virtually excludes them from the title race.
| Team | 1xBet, 22Bet, Melbet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.163 | 1.10 |
| AS Monaco | 12.5 | 12.00 |
| Olympique Marseille | 13.5 | 15.00 |
| Lille OSC | 24 | 23.00 |
| Lyon | 26 | - |
| Nice | 35 | 34.00 |
| Toulouse | 100 | 501.00 |
| Auxerre | 100 | 501.00 |
| Nantes | 100 | 501.00 |
| Le Havre | 100 | 501.00 |
| RC Lens | 100 | 151.00 |
| Paris FC | 100 | 501.00 |
| Strasbourg | 100 | 201.00 |
| Metz | 100 | 501.00 |
| Angers SCO | 100 | - |
| Lorient | 100 | 501.00 |
| Stade Rennais | 100 | 251.00 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 100 | 751.00 |
Championship Chances for Ligue 1 Teams. Mr.Green
Top-3 Chances in Ligue 1
The top-3 market in the French championship demonstrates an even brighter picture of leading clubs’ dominance. PSG received technical odds of 1.01, which virtually means a 100% guarantee of Champions League participation from first place.
Monaco (1.83-1.9) and Marseille (2.0) are considered virtually guaranteed top-3 participants. Such low odds reflect the qualitative gap between the leading trio and the rest of the league teams.
Lille (2.5) also has very high chances of making the top three, although a slight increase in odds compared to Marseille shows some uncertainty about the northerners’ stability.
The real intrigue begins with the fight for third place between Marseille and Lille. Lyon (3.5-4.5) heads the list of teams that can interfere with the usual trio of leaders. The Rhodanians are experiencing a recovery period and, under favorable circumstances, are capable of creating a sensation.
Nice (3.75-4.0) presents an interesting alternative to traditional giants. The Côte d’Azur has ambitions and resources to fight with more renowned opponents.
Lens (9-10) completes the group of potential top-3 contenders, but a significant increase in odds shows bookmakers’ skepticism about the Artesians’ ability to compete with giants over the distance.
| Team | 1xBet, 22Bet, Melbet | Mr. Green |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.01 | 1.01 |
| AS Monaco | 1.9 | 1.83 |
| Olympique Marseille | 2 | 2.00 |
| Lille OSC | 2.5 | 2.50 |
| Lyon | 3.5 | 4.50 |
| Nice | 4 | 3.75 |
| RC Lens | 10 | 9.00 |
| Strasbourg | 15 | 13.00 |
| Rennes | - | 21.00 |
| Toulouse | 25 | 21.00 |
| Nantes | 25 | - |
| Stade Rennais | 25 | - |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 35 | 41.00 |
| FC Nantes | - | 26.00 |
| Angers SCO | 100 | 351.00 |
| Auxerre | 100 | 101.00 |
| Le Havre | 100 | 251.00 |
| Lorient | - | 101.00 |
| Metz | - | 201.00 |
| Paris FC | - | 201.00 |
Top-3 Chances in Ligue 1. 1xBet
Top-4 Chances in Ligue 1
The fight for fourth place and the last Champions League ticket promises to be the most exciting part of the French championship. The first three places are virtually distributed among the giants, but the fourth position remains open for several contenders.
PSG (1.01), Monaco (1.55), and Marseille (1.55) have low odds confirming their status as unconditional top-4 participants. Lille (1.75) is also considered a virtually guaranteed Champions League participant.
Real competition begins with Lyon (2.2) and Nice (2.35). Both teams have sufficient potential to fight for European competitions, but their relatively low odds may reflect underestimation of the task’s difficulty.
Lens (4.5) represents interesting value among top-4 outsiders. The Artesians have demonstrated in recent years the ability to compete with more renowned opponents and, with a successful season, can create a sensation.
Strasbourg (8.0) and Rennes (11.0) close the group of real contenders for fourth place. A significant increase in odds shows that bookmakers evaluate their chances quite skeptically.
| Team | 1xBet, 22Bet, Melbet |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.01 |
| AS Monaco | 1.55 |
| Olympique de Marseille | 1.55 |
| Lille OSC | 1.75 |
| Lyon | 2.2 |
| Nice | 2.35 |
| RC Lens | 4.5 |
| Strasbourg | 8 |
| Stade Rennais | 11 |
| Toulouse | 11 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 15 |
| Nantes | 16 |
Top-4 Chances in Ligue 1. 22Bet
French Cup Victory Chances for Top-4 in Ligue 1
The French Cup traditionally provides opportunities for sensations, but even here PSG’s dominance looks overwhelming. The knockout tournament often brings surprises, but the Parisians’ class makes them unconditional favorites.
Paris Saint-Germain (1.667) has significantly higher odds compared to the championship, which reflects the unpredictability of the cup format. Nevertheless, the Parisians remain unconditional tournament favorites.
Monaco (8.0) and Marseille (8.5) make up the second group of contenders. Their odds show real, though limited, chances of cup victory with a favorable draw and playing at maximum capacity.
Lille (15.0) has experience of victories in cup tournaments and is capable of creating problems for any opponent in knockout format. Nice (23.0) and Lyon (26.0) complete the group of potential tournament dark horses.
| Team | 1xBet, 22Bet, Melbet |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.667 |
| AS Monaco | 8 |
| Olympique de Marseille | 8.5 |
| Lille OSC | 15 |
| Nice | 23 |
| Lyon | 26 |
| RC Lens | 29 |
| Strasbourg | 41 |
| Toulouse | 50 |
| Stade Rennais | 50 |
| Nantes | 65 |
| Lorient | 80 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 80 |
| Montpellier HSC | 100 |
| Bastia | 100 |
| Auxerre | 100 |
| Le Havre | 100 |
| Stade Lavallois | 100 |
| Paris | 100 |
| En Avant de Guingamp | 100 |
France Cup. 2025-26. Winner
Summer Transfer Campaign of Ligue 1 Clubs
The 2025 transfer window in French football was marked by strengthening the positions of PSG’s pursuers and attempts to reduce the gap with the Parisian giant. Unlike massive investments in other top championships, French clubs acted more rationally, focusing on targeted reinforcements of key positions.
PSG: Stability Without Major Purchases
Paris Saint-Germain conducted an unusually quiet transfer window, not making a single major acquisition. The Parisians focused on returning players from loan and optimizing the existing squad. This approach reflects management’s confidence in the current squad and explains the technical odds for the championship.
PSG’s lack of activity gave competitors a chance to reduce the gap, but the class of the Parisian squad remains unattainable for French opponents.
Marseille: Large-Scale Restructuring
Olympique Marseille conducted an active transfer campaign, spending 34 million euros on squad reinforcement. The Provençals focused on attracting young promising players and experienced professionals.
Jonathan Rowe from Norwich became one of the key acquisitions for the attacking line. The 22-year-old English winger adds speed and unpredictability on the flanks.
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg from Tottenham strengthens central midfield with experience in top championships. The Danish midfielder has excellent game vision and the ability to control match tempo.
Neil Maupay from Everton adds depth in the center of the field, while Facundo Medina came on loan from Lens, representing an intra-French exchange.
Angel Gomes and CJ Egan-Riley strengthen various positions, showing a comprehensive approach to squad reinforcement.
Monaco: Rational Decisions
Monaco did not conduct massive investments, limiting itself to strategic acquisitions. The principality traditionally relies on developing its own youth and rational transfer policy.
Eric Dier as a free agent became a notable acquisition. The 31-year-old English defender adds experience to the center of defense.
Ansu Fati came on loan, while Paul Pogba joined as a free agent after completing his disqualification. The French midfielder could be a key reinforcement if he regains form.
Paul Pogba in Monaco
Nice: Squad Development
Nice spent more than 19 million euros, demonstrating serious intentions in the fight for European competitions. The Côte d’Azur team focused on strengthening key positions.
Isak Jansson from Ranners and Yehvann Diouf from Reims strengthen various team lines. Kodjo Psarrah Opong became a promising acquisition for the future.
However, the club lost Jean-Clair Todibo, who transferred to West Ham, depriving the team of one of the defensive leaders.
Lyon: Minimal Investments
Olympique Lyon conducted a modest transfer window, spending less than 6 million euros. The Rhodanians focused on young promising players and returning loaned footballers.
Ruben Quirert as a free agent became the main acquisition for the center of defense. Afonso Moreira from Sporting adds Portuguese technique to the squad.
Rayan Cherki to Manchester City became the loudest sale, seriously replenishing the club’s budget through the sale of their own youth product.
Sherki at Man City
Impact on Betting Markets
The transfer activity of French clubs explains current betting lines:
- PSG’s lack of purchases while maintaining squad quality confirms their status as the undisputed favorite
- Marseille’s activity explains their position as second contender
- Lyon’s modest spending is reflected in high title odds
- Losing Todibo weakens Nice’s positions in the fight for European competitions
-
Pogba’s arrival could strengthen Monaco provided the player regains optimal form
Mark Thompson