Empoli — Sampdoria : Match Preview and Prediction for October 28,2025
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Empoli
Empoli’s Defensive Vulnerabilities
Let’s begin with the hosts. Empoli suffered a 1-2 defeat to Modena in their most recent fixture. The fact that three goals were scored already speaks volumes, but a closer examination reveals a team that simply struggles to keep a clean sheet. Statistics are a harsh reality: Empoli ranks second-worst in the league for goals conceded, having let in 16 goals in 9 matches, which averages out to nearly two goals per game.
Empoli’s Attacking Prowess
Despite their defensive issues, the Tuscans’ attack operates effectively. Empoli has scored in 8 out of 9 matches this season, and their home scoring streak is perfect – 5 goals in 5 home games. This indicates that the team consistently creates and converts scoring opportunities, but their defense often negates their offensive efforts. The match against Modena only confirmed this pattern: they conceded twice, allowing their opponents to create four clear-cut goal-scoring chances.
Empoli’s Tactical Approach and Scoring Trend
Even with absences in the attacking line, such as Marco Nasti, Empoli finds players to score. Coach Dionisi’s 3-5-2 formation, which features active flanks, is designed for offense but frequently leaves significant defensive gaps. Every Empoli match this season has seen a total of over 1.5 goals – this is the best record in the league, and it’s certainly not a coincidence.
Tournament Table
Injuries and Disqualifications (Empoli)
- Injury Marco Nasti Rotation Player FWD
1 match played1 goal scoredOctober 5 out since2 matches missed
Sampdoria
Sampdoria’s Defensive Woes
Now, let’s turn our attention to Sampdoria. The Genoese played to a 1-1 draw with Frosinone in their last match. Don’t just look at the score; consider the game’s content. Sampdoria allowed their opponents 16 shots on goal and hit the woodwork three times! Three times! This highlights immense defensive problems, with a backline that’s constantly under strain and only by a miracle avoids conceding more goals.
Sampdoria’s Revitalized Attack
Under the new coaching staff of Gregucci and Foti, the team has started playing more proactively in attack. In the second half against Frosinone, the Genoese looked considerably sharper, created chances, and came close to winning. An Expected Goals (xG) figure of 1.70 confirms the attack’s potential. Striker Massimo Coda scored again, confirming his class, and forward Pedrola’s return to the squad will add more versatility in the attacking third.
Key Absences Impacting Sampdoria’s Defense
Sampdoria’s defense is further weakened by personnel issues. Key defender Fabio Depaoli is out due to injury. Additionally, head coach Angelo Gregucci’s suspension means he will direct the game from the stands. The absence of a coach on the touchline rarely has a positive impact on team organization, especially defensively.
Tournament Table
Injuries and Disqualifications (Sampdoria)
- Injury Gaetan Coucke Rotation Player GK2 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 5 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Estanis Pedrola Rotation Player FWD4 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 13 out since6 matches missed
- Injury Simone Pafundi Rotation Player MF7 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 10 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Stefano Girelli Reserve Player MF0 matches played0 goals scoredAugust 18 out since9 matches missed
- Injury Giorgio Altare Reserve Player DEF0 matches played0 goals scoredMay 13 out since15 matches missed
- Injury Simone Romagnoli Reserve Player DEF0 matches played0 goals scoredJanuary 25 out since30 matches missed
Players Questionable to Play
- Injury Fabio Depaoli Starting Player DEF10 matches played2 goals scoredOctober 25 out since0 matches missed
Conclusion and Prediction
Putting two and two together, we have Empoli – a team with one of the league’s weakest defenses, conceding almost two goals per game on average, yet scoring in nearly every match, especially at home. Their playing style inherently suggests goals at both ends.
Mark Thompson
