Toluca — Mazatlan : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

Toluca’s Dominant Form

The ‘Devils’ are currently ablaze with form. Their emphatic 6-2 demolition of Monterrey wasn’t just a win; it was a powerful statement of intent. They dismantled one of the league’s most formidable and expensive teams, registering 24 shots on goal, with 13 hitting the target. An impressive Expected Goals (xG) figure of 3.45 unequivocally demonstrates this was no fluke, but a thoroughly deserved and dominant victory.

Unstoppable Attack and Consistent Victories

This goal-scoring spectacle isn’t an isolated incident. Previously, they secured a confident 3-0 away win against Guadalajara. In their last 5 matches, Toluca boasts 4 victories, with four of those triumphs achieved by a margin of two goals or more. Their attack is functioning with clinical precision: Paulinho bagged a hat-trick against Monterrey, Nicolas Castro scored a brace, and captain Alexis Vega is both assisting and scoring. The team leads the league in goals scored (28 in 10 games), assists, shots on target, and created scoring chances.

Strategic Stability and Squad Strength

The club is also building for the long term. Key figures have recently extended their contracts, including coach Antonio Mohamed and star players Alexis Vega, Marcel Ruiz, and Jesus Angulo. This solidifies the core of a potential championship-winning squad and underscores the project’s serious ambitions. Furthermore, Bruno Mendez returns to strengthen the defense after his suspension, further bolstering an already formidable lineup.

Mazatlan’s Struggles

Mazatlan presents a stark contrast to their upcoming opponent. The team currently languishes in 15th place in the table and has failed to secure a win in their last five matches. In the previous round, they managed a 2-2 draw against Leon, but the match statistics scream of underlying issues: Leon generated chances equating to 4.11 Expected Goals (xG) compared to Mazatlan’s 1.81. The visitors were undoubtedly fortunate to escape with a point.

Away Day Misery

Away games are a complete disaster for Mazatlan. In 5 away fixtures this season, they have recorded zero victories, suffering three losses and securing two draws. The team ranks among the bottom three for away defeats. Overall this season, Mazatlan has managed only one win in 10 rounds.

Compounded by Injuries

Their woes are compounded by significant personnel losses. The participation of key midfielders Alberto Herrera and Jefferson Intriago is currently in doubt. Given the team’s already limited resources, often dubbed a ‘club without sparkle’ by the press, the absence of crucial players in the midfield could prove fatal against the league’s top-scoring offense.