Juarez — Mazatlan : Match Preview and Prediction for August 30,2025

Juarez’s Recent Form

The home side is currently in excellent form. Let’s examine the facts. Juarez approaches this match with two consecutive league victories, one of which was secured in a dramatic finish against Santos Laguna. Trailing 0-1, Martín Varini’s players turned the game around with goals in the 89th and 92nd minutes.

Dominant Performance and Statistics

Such a comeback isn’t just luck. The statistics from that match demonstrate total superiority: 58% possession and an Expected Goals (xG) metric of 1.42 against the opponent’s 0.41. Juarez completely controlled the game and deservedly overpowered their rival. This marked their second consecutive win, following an away success against Guadalajara (2-1).

Key Players in the Spotlight

It’s worth noting that Juarez players are currently attracting significant attention. After the victory over Santos, two players, Denzell Garcia and Alejandro Mayorga, were included in the Team of the Week for Matchday 6. Forward Angel Zaldivar, who scored one of the goals in that encounter, is clearly determined to extend his scoring streak. The team is on a roll, and this is evident from their results and individual performances.

Home Advantage: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

A crucial factor is their home-field advantage. The Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez has been a real fortress for Juarez in their clashes with Mazatlan. In the past five head-to-head encounters at this venue, the hosts have claimed three victories, one draw, and only one defeat. Furthermore, Juarez has not lost to Mazatlan here since Clausura 2022.

Mazatlan’s Recent Performance Review

Mazatlan arrives as the away team following a very peculiar 2-2 draw with Tigres. Looking at the final score, one might assume the team put up a fierce fight against one of the giants. However, a deeper dive reveals a drastically different picture. Mazatlan played with a man advantage from the second minute of the match!

Lucky Escape Against Tigres

Even with an extra player for almost the entire game, they somehow managed to concede possession (24% vs 76%), allowed 32 shots on their goal (compared to their 6), and miraculously escaped. Mazatlan’s xG of 0.52 against Tigres’ 2.52 speaks volumes. This was not a deserved draw, but pure luck.

Concerning Away Form

Mazatlan’s away form is their primary concern. This season, they have played three matches on the road: two losses and one draw. The goal difference is grim: 2 scored and 9 conceded. The team feels absolutely insecure outside their home stadium.

Defensive Woes and Key Absences

Adding to their troubles, the visitors have a significant loss in defense. Starting defender Bryan Colula was sent off in the match against Tigres and will miss this game due to suspension. Given how their defense crumbled even against ten opponents, the absence of a key player is a huge problem ahead of an away trip to a in-form Juarez side.