Lecce
28.09.2025 19:00 (GMT+2)
Bologna
[1] - 4.15
Х - 3.15
[2] - 2.10
1$
4.15
1$
2.10

Lecce — Bologna : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

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Matchday 5: Lecce vs Bologna Prediction

Match Preview: Lecce vs Bologna

This Matchday 5 encounter between Lecce and Bologna is set for September 28th at the Stadio Via del Mare. Here’s a detailed match prediction, betting odds, and statistical insights for Lecce vs Bologna.

Lecce’s Current Form and Struggles

Eusebio Di Francesco’s squad faced a 1-2 home defeat against Cagliari in their last outing. This marks Lecce’s third consecutive loss in , though they did manage to score their second goal of the current campaign. Notably, this is also the first time in 2025 that the team has conceded at least two goals in three consecutive matches. With just one point, Lecce currently occupies the bottom spot in the league standings.

Key Statistics for Lecce

  • The club has failed to win in 12 of their last 13 home matches in (3 draws, 9 losses).
  • At least one opponent did not score in 5 of the team’s last 7 home league fixtures.
  • Lecce has not scored more than one goal in their last seven home games.

Predicted Lecce Lineup (4-5-1)*

Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Krist-Owen Kouassi – Riccardo Sottil, Lassana Coulibaly, Alex Sala, Ylber Ramadani, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Stulic.

Bologna’s Performance and League Standing

Vincenzo Italiano’s side secured a 2-1 home victory against Genoa in their previous match. This triumph marks Bologna’s second win in the current championship. Furthermore, it was the first time in their last five games that the team managed to score more than one goal. With six points, the club sits in 11th position in the league table. Notably, only Roma (1) and Milan (2) have conceded fewer goals than Bologna (3) in the current season.

Key Statistics for Bologna

  • The team has not won in their last six away matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
  • The club has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 away league fixtures.
  • At least one opponent did not score in 7 of Bologna’s last 10 away games.

Predicted Bologna Lineup (4-5-1)*

Lukasz Skorupski – Lorenzo De Silvestri, Thorbjørn Heggem, Martin Vitík, Juan Miranda – Riccardo Orsolini, Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro, Federico Bernardeschi, Benja Domínguez – Santiago Castro.

Bologna Team News: Injuries

Defender Nicolò Casale, midfielders Ibrahim Sulemana and Tommaso Pobega, along with forward Ciro Immobile, will miss the match due to injuries.

Match Official: Francesco Furno

Francesco Furno (Italy)

Matches refereed – 12 (, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 50;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 28;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Match Prediction: Lecce vs Bologna

Even on home turf, Lecce has struggled significantly in attack: in their last seven home matches, the team has never managed to score more than one goal. Furthermore, on four occasions during this period, the club failed to score at all. It’s also worth noting that in the current championship, only Torino and Parma (1 goal each) have scored fewer goals than Lecce (2).

Bologna’s goal-scoring record is also far from impressive. In their last seven away encounters, the team has only managed to score more than one goal on a single occasion, and in four of those matches, they left the field without finding the net. Additionally, in their last two head-to-head clashes at Lecce’s home ground in the league, Bologna scored just once.

Given the attacking woes of both sides, I do not anticipate a high-scoring game. Therefore, my prediction is Total Goals Under 2.5, with odds of 1.55.

*The starting lineup indicated for each team is from their last match in this tournament.

Expert Predictions for Lecce vs Bologna on September 28, 2025

Artem Egorov profile picture
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Artem Egorov
129 / 4 / 121 / ROI -6.0%

Artem Egorov’s Analysis

After four rounds, Lecce finds itself at the bottom of the table, desperately needing to rectify their situation. Their next opponent is Bologna, who, in turn, have yet to display consistent form.

Lecce’s Current Predicament

Lecce enters this match on a dismal run of four consecutive defeats, with an aggregate score of 2-11. While this streak included two encounters with top-tier AC Milan and a loss to Atalanta, it doesn’t diminish the severity of their problems. Following Krstovic’s departure, Lecce’s attack has become completely ineffective, culminating in a mere 2.4 xG overall, by far the worst metric in the league.

Bologna’s Recent Performance

In their last league fixture, Bologna confidently dispatched struggling Genoa with a 2-1 victory, accumulating 1.59 xG and registering 14 shots on target. Additionally, Vincenzo Italiano demonstrated his excellent tactical influence in that game; after conceding a goal, a few targeted substitutions completely turned the tide, allowing his team to stage a comeback.

Conclusion of Expert Forecast

Even if Bologna faces some issues, these should not prevent them from defeating Lecce. Di Francesco’s men are in a deep crisis, and judging by their current form, there are no immediate signs of recovery.

Expert’s Pick
Prediction: Bologna Win
Odds
Coefficient
2.08
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Lecce vs Bologna

Lecce Lecce
Bologna Bologna

Other predictions

Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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