Match Preview

The second leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025 Round of 16 between Ecuadorian side LDU Quito and Brazilian club Botafogo is scheduled for August 22 at the “Rodrigo Paz Delgado” stadium. Botafogo secured a 1:0 victory in the first leg. This report provides a detailed prediction, statistical analysis, and betting insights for the LDU Quito vs Botafogo encounter.

LDU Quito’s Current Form

Thiago Nunes’ squad suffered a 0:1 away defeat in the initial fixture, conceding the sole goal within the first minute. This loss marks LDU Quito’s second in their last three Copa Libertadores outings. Furthermore, the team has failed to score in four matches during the current tournament campaign. To advance to the next stage of the playoffs, the club now needs to secure a victory by at least a two-goal margin within regular time. It’s worth noting that the Ecuadorians have reached the Copa Libertadores quarter-finals only once since the 2008/09 season.

LDU Quito Home Statistics

• The team has clinched wins in 5 out of their last 7 home matches in the Copa Libertadores in regular time.
• The club has maintained a clean sheet for the full 90 minutes in 5 of their preceding 6 home fixtures in this tournament.
• A maximum of two goals were scored in regular time in 5 of LDU Quito’s last 6 home matches in the Copa Libertadores.

LDU Quito Anticipated Lineup (3-5-2)*

Gonzalo Valle – Leonel Quiñónez, Ricardo Adé, Richard Mina – José Quinteros, Gabriel Villamil, Fernando Cornejo, Carlos Gruezo, Brayan Ramírez – Lisandro Alzugaray, Jayson Medina.

Botafogo’s Performance

In the first leg, Davide Ancelotti’s team emerged victorious against their opponents on home turf. This result allowed Botafogo to extend their unbeaten run in the Copa Libertadores to four consecutive matches. Additionally, the team has not conceded a goal in their last two fixtures within this tournament. To progress to the next phase, the Brazilians only need to avoid defeat within 90 minutes; should they lose by a single goal, extra time will be initiated. It’s noteworthy that Botafogo is the reigning champion of the Copa Libertadores.

Botafogo Away Statistics

• The club has failed to win in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away encounters in the Copa Libertadores (comprising 3 draws and 3 losses).
• The team has conceded goals within 90 minutes in their past seven away matches in this competition.
• No more than two goals were scored in regular time in 15 of the Brazilian side’s last 19 away fixtures in the Copa Libertadores.

Botafogo Anticipated Lineup (4-5-1)*

John Victor – Vitinho, David Ricardo, Alexander Barboza, Alex Telles – Marlon Freitas, Danilo dos Santos, Léo Artur, Jefferson Savarino, Álvaro Montoro – Arthur Cabral.

Team Injury Report

Defenders Luis Suárez and Caio Pantaleão are currently sidelined due to injuries.

Referee Analysis: Facundo Tello

Facundo Tello (Argentina)

Matches officiated – 6 (International fixtures, 2025);

Yellow cards issued (including second yellows) – 29;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties awarded – 50%.

LDU Quito vs Botafogo Match Prediction

On their home pitch, the Ecuadorian side frequently achieves the desired outcomes. However, the team prioritizes solid defensive play and is not known for a particularly dynamic attacking style. In their last six home matches in the Copa Libertadores, LDU Quito has managed to score only eight goals, and in two instances during this period, the club’s players were unable to breach the opponents’ defense. Nevertheless, the Ecuadorians commit very few significant defensive errors: in 5 of their 6 most recent home games in this tournament, the team kept a clean sheet.

The Brazilians, similarly, cannot boast highly effective offensive play, especially when competing away from home. In their last 19 away encounters in the Copa Libertadores, Botafogo managed to exceed one goal scored only three times, and in seven matches over this period, the club failed to score at all. Concurrently, in 17 matches during this stretch, the team did not concede more than one goal.

Recommended Betting Tip

Considering the statistical tendencies of both teams, I anticipate a low-scoring match. My prediction: “Total under 2.5 goals” with odds of 1.65.

* For each team, the indicated lineup represents their starting XI from their previous match in this tournament.