Match Overview

The fifth round clash between Genoa and Lazio is scheduled for September 29 at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris in Genoa. This preview provides an in-depth analysis and betting insights, including odds and statistics for the encounter.

Genoa’s Current Form

Patrick Vieira’s squad suffered a 1-2 away defeat against Bologna in their last match. Genoa remains winless in the current championship campaign, having recorded two draws and two losses. Furthermore, this was the first time this season that the team conceded more than one goal. With two points earned, the Genovese side currently occupies 16th place in the league table.

Genoa Key Statistics:

• The club has not secured a victory in their last five home matches in (1 draw, 4 losses).
• The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 9 of their previous 12 home league fixtures.
• No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Genoa’s last 11 home matches.

Genoa Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)*

Nicola Leali – Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Leo Østigård, Johan Vásquez, Aarón Martín Caricol – Vitinha, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Patrizio Masini, Mikael Egill Ellertsson – Lorenzo Colombo.

Genoa Team News

Midfielder Jean Onana will miss the match due to injury.

Lazio’s Current Form

Maurizio Sarri’s team lost 0-1 to Roma in the derby during the previous round. This defeat marked Lazio’s fourth loss in their last five matches, with the Roman club failing to score in each of these losing games. Additionally, the team has kept a clean sheet only once in their last seven league fixtures. Lazio currently holds just three points, placing them in 13th position in the league standings.

Lazio Key Statistics:

• The team has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 11 away matches (6 wins, 2 draws).
• At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of the club’s previous 7 away league games.
• No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Lazio’s last 6 away matches.

Lazio Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)*

Ivan Provedel – Adam Marušić, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Nuno Tavares – Mattéo Guendouzi, Nicolò Rovella, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru – Pedro Rodríguez, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni.

Lazio Team News

Midfielders Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Nicolò Rovella, and Manuel Lazzari are sidelined due to injuries. Midfielders Reda Belahyane and Mattéo Guendouzi are suspended.

Match Official: Giovanni Ayroldi

Giovanni Ayroldi (Italy)

Referee Statistics:

• Matches – 12 (, 2024/25–2025/26);
• Yellow Cards shown (including second yellows) – 70;
• Average Yellow Cards per match – 5.8;
• Red Cards shown – 5;
• Average Fouls per match – 28;
• Penalties awarded – 33%.

Expert Prediction: Genoa vs Lazio

Genoa’s attacking play has not been impressive in the current championship, with only two goals scored in four rounds. Moreover, Genoa has yet to score a single goal at home in the current season. Historically, the team has not been prolific in front of goal in home matches, piercing opponents’ defenses more than once in only two of their last eight home league fixtures.

Lazio has had a poor start to the current season, but their struggles are often due to a lack of attacking efficiency rather than numerous defensive errors. Even when playing away, the Roman side has generally maintained a solid defense, conceding more than one goal on only three occasions in their last 11 away league games. Furthermore, Lazio managed to keep a clean sheet in five of those encounters.

It’s also worth noting that in their last four head-to-head matches at home, Genoa has scored a total of just two goals. I do not anticipate the home side to be particularly effective in creating chances, therefore my prediction is: “Genoa Individual Total Under 1” with odds of 1.82

Author’s Note

Author: Dmitry Shchurko

* The starting lineup listed for each team is from their previous match in this tournament.