Match Overview

The 4th round match of the 2025/26 general stage between Sturm Graz (Austria) and Nottingham Forest (England) is scheduled for November 6th at the Graz-Liebenau Stadium. This analysis provides a prediction, key statistics, and team information for the Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest encounter.

Sturm Graz Team Analysis

The Austrian side has shown inconsistent form in the group stage. They secured a 2-1 victory against Rangers at home, but have suffered defeats away from home, losing 0-2 to Midtjylland and 1-2 to Celtic. Notably, Sturm Graz has managed only one win in their last seven matches in this tournament, alongside one draw and five losses. Coach Jurgen Saumel’s squad currently sits in 27th place, trailing the top-24 due to an inferior goal difference.

Sturm Graz Key Stats

• The club has avoided defeat in six of their last eight home games in the (3 wins, 3 draws).
• Sturm Graz has conceded no more than one goal in seven of their last nine home matches in this European competition.
• The Austrian team has lost the second half in their last six tournament games.

Sturm Graz Predicted Lineup (4-4-2)*

Matteo Bignetti – Emanuel Aiwu, Emir Karic, Dimitri Lavalee, Tim Ehrmann – Tomi Horvat, Otar Kiteishvili, Filip Rosga, Emir Karic – Tochi Chukwuani, Maurice Malone.

Team News: Sturm Graz

Midfielder Tochi Chukwuani is unavailable due to suspension.

Nottingham Forest Team Analysis

Nuno Espírito Santo finally guided the club to a much-needed victory, though it has so far only materialized in European competition. In the previous round, the team hosted Porto and secured a 2-0 win. Prior to that, the English side drew away against Betis (2-2) and surprisingly lost at home to Midtjylland (2-3). Nottingham Forest currently holds the 17th spot within the top-24, having accumulated 4 points.

Nottingham Forest Key Stats

• The club has achieved only one victory in their last 13 official matches (4 draws and 8 defeats).
• Nottingham Forest has conceded at least two goals in five of their last six official games.
• Away from home, the English side is on a seven-match winless streak in official competitions (3 draws and 4 defeats). 

Nottingham Forest Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)*

Matz Sels – Murillo, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Nikola Milenkovic – Neco Williams, Elliot Anderson, Dan Ndoye, Douglas Luiz – Morgan Gibbs-White, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Igor Jesus.  

Team News: Nottingham Forest

Forward Igor Jesus is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Match Official

Mykola Balakin (Ukraine)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated – 12 (International fixtures, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 25%.

Match Prediction: Sturm Graz vs Nottingham Forest

Sturm Graz can be considered a rather average team. While they performed exceptionally well in their domestic league last season, they are currently only in fourth place in the current campaign. Interestingly, Jurgen Saumel’s charges have the worst home record in the Austrian Bundesliga, with only one win and three losses. Furthermore, they have secured just a single victory in their last seven matches.

Nottingham Forest’s Prospects

I believe that the English club, under Nuno Espírito Santo, will soon begin to climb the Premier League standings and also advance further in the . In addition to their first European victory against Porto, Nottingham Forest were close to defeating Manchester United this past weekend, settling for a 2-2 draw. I anticipate the visitors will win in Austria, as the standard of even a Premier League struggler is notably higher than that of one of the Austrian championship leaders.

Final Bet Selection

My prediction is a “Nottingham Forest Win” with odds of 1.72.

*The starting lineup provided for each team reflects their last match in this tournament.