Bologna
02.10.2025 19:45 (GMT+2)
Freiburg
[1] - 1.97
Х - 3.65
[2] - 4.15
1$
1.97
1$
4.15

Bologna — Freiburg : Match Preview and Prediction for October 02,2025

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Europa League: Bologna vs Freiburg Match Forecast

Match Overview

This pivotal 2025/26 group stage encounter between Bologna (Italy) and Freiburg (Germany) is scheduled for October 2 at the iconic Stadio Renato Dall’Ara. Our comprehensive match preview delves into predictions, current betting odds, and key statistics for the Bologna vs Freiburg clash.

Bologna Team Analysis

Current Form and European Performance

Under the guidance of Vincenzo Italiano, Bologna suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Aston Villa in their opening fixture. This loss marked their eighth European match without a victory in their last nine outings (comprising 3 draws and 5 defeats). Adding to their struggles, the team failed to find the net in six of those matches. Conversely, Bologna has demonstrated defensive solidity, not conceding more than a single goal in any of their last four European encounters. Currently, the Italian side occupies the 28th position in the overall group stage standings.

Key Statistics for Bologna

  • Seven of Bologna’s last nine European matches have featured two or fewer goals.
  • The team has conceded exactly one or two goals in seven of their previous eight European fixtures.
  • Bologna failed to score in the first half in eight of their last nine appearances in European club tournaments.

Bologna’s Probable Starting XI (4-3-3)*

Lukasz Skorupski – Nadir Zortea, John Lucumí, Martin Vitík, Charalambos Lykogiannis – Lewis Ferguson, Remo Freuler, Jens Odgaard – Federico Bernardeschi, Nicolò Cambiaghi, Santiago Castro.

Bologna Injury Report

Defenders Nicolò Casale, midfielders Ibrahim Sulemana and Tommaso Pobega, as well as forward Ciro Immobile, are sidelined due to injuries.

Freiburg Team Analysis

Recent European Results

In their opening round fixture, Julian Schuster’s men secured a 2-1 home victory over Basel. This win represents only Freiburg’s second in their last six Europa League matches (2 draws, 2 losses). Over this same period, the team managed to score in just three of those encounters. The German side currently sits in seventh place in the overall group stage standings.

Freiburg Away Statistics

  • The club has failed to win five of their last seven away matches in the Europa League (2 draws, 3 losses).
  • Freiburg has conceded goals in six of their last seven away games in this European competition.
  • At least one team failed to score in six of the Germans’ last eight Europa League matches.

Freiburg’s Probable Starting XI (4-5-1)*

Noah Atubolu – Anthony Jung, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Lukas Kübler – Vincenzo Grifo, Johan Manzambi, Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Jan-Niklas Beste – Chukwubuike Adamu.

Freiburg Injury Report

Midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyereh is unavailable due to injury.

Match Official

Referee: Nenad Minaković (Serbia)

Referee Statistics (2024/25–2025/26 International Matches)

Matches officiated – 13;

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 62;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 27;

Penalties awarded – 15%.

Bologna vs Freiburg Match Prediction

Bologna’s Offensive Struggles

The Italian side has shown limited attacking prowess in European competitions. In their last nine European club matches, Bologna scored more than once on only a single occasion, and in six of those games, they failed to score at all. Despite this, the team’s defense has been reasonably solid, conceding a maximum of one goal in five of their previous six European fixtures.

Freiburg’s Away Form and Defensive Record

Freiburg also cannot boast a prolific attacking display. In their last seven away matches in the Europa League, the club managed to score more than one goal only twice, and in their last three away encounters in this competition, the Germans did not find the net at all. On the other hand, they tend to keep opponents in check; in their last nine away Europa League matches, Freiburg conceded more than one goal on just three occasions.

Final Prediction

Considering the conservative attacking trends of both teams, I do not anticipate a high-scoring affair. Therefore, my prediction is: Total Goals Under 2.5 with odds of 1.81

* The starting lineup listed for each team is from their previous match in this tournament.

Predictions for Bologna vs Freiburg on October 2, 2025

Sergey Zimarin profile picture
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Sergey Zimarin
130 / 16 / 116 / ROI -5.4%

Expert Analysis by Sergey Zimarin

After the first round, Bologna finds itself outside the Europa League playoff zone. This might be expected, considering the Italian team was in the fourth and last pot during the draw. They will strive to prove otherwise in their first home match against Freiburg.

Bologna’s position is not yet critical. In the opening round, they faced the main favorite of the Europa League, Aston Villa. They failed to secure points (0-1), although the English team was in a vulnerable position, struggling in the Premier League and not scoring much. One goal decided everything, even though Bologna players were more active in front of goal: 17 shots compared to 12, seven on target to four, though xG was lower (1.24-1.45). This attacking activity translated into more goals in their subsequent Serie A match, but they couldn’t hold on to an away victory against Lecce (2-2).

Freiburg started their Europa League campaign with a 2-1 win over neighboring Basel, without having to travel. They scored two goals from just 0.92 xG chances. This match was their third victory, and the third time they scored at least two goals, ensuring the Over 2.5 bet would land. High-scoring matches are common in the German championship, but in their last league game, the team from the Black Forest only exchanged goals with Hoffenheim at the beginning of the match, and then things didn’t progress much.

An Over 2.5 outcome could occur here, but it’s not entirely clear. More questions surround Bologna, who average one goal in Serie A and zero in the Europa League. The ‘Over’ might not come in, but the hosts will score at least one goal, a trend that has continued in 20 consecutive home matches. My prediction is “Both Teams to Score – Yes.”

Prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Odds
Coefficient
1.85
 

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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