Santa Fe — Alianza : Match Preview and Prediction for September 10,2025

Recent Form and Derby Dynamics

The home side enters this crucial second leg following a goalless draw in the capital derby against Millonarios. However, this scoreline might be deceptive. That particular match was more of an anomaly – ‘clásicos’ often tend to be tight and cautious affairs, a fact substantiated by statistics: the opponent managed only 3 shots on target against Santa Fe throughout the entire game. A more accurate reflection of the team’s current form can be found in their preceding encounters.

Defensive Vulnerabilities Highlighted

Prior to the derby, Santa Fe suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Once Caldas. Earlier losses include a 0-2 against Fortaleza and another 1-2 setback against Atlético Bucaramanga. It’s evident that the team’s defense is far from an impenetrable fortress, with opponents consistently finding avenues to breach their goal.

Squad Concerns and First Leg Insights

Furthermore, there are reports of potential squad issues. Defender Joaquín Sosa might miss the game due to an injury, which could force tactical adjustments in Jorge Bava’s defensive setup. It’s also important to recall the first leg of this cup tie, where Santa Fe conceded an away goal to Alianza, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw.

Alianza’s Potent Offensive Record

The visiting side, Alianza, conversely, boasts highly impressive attacking statistics. The numbers speak volumes: Alianza has scored at least one goal in 13 of their last 16 matches. Their away record is even more striking, with the team finding the net in 6 of their previous 7 road games.

Consistent Goal-Scoring Prowess

Even in their recent 1-3 defeat against Atlético Bucaramanga, Alianza’s players managed to score, with forward Carlos Lucumí getting on the scoreboard. In the first leg against Santa Fe, Alianza was clearly the more dangerous side, registering 7 shots on target compared to their opponent’s 2, which ultimately led to their crucial away goal.

First Leg Dominance and Historical Edge

Match statistics from that encounter reveal that Alianza particularly dominated in attack during the second half, unleashing 11 shots towards goal, 6 of which were on target. This demonstrates the team’s capacity to both create and convert chances against this specific opponent. Furthermore, a look back at recent head-to-head history shows Alianza securing a resounding 6-1 victory, further underscoring their ability to break down Santa Fe’s defense.