Match Overview

The 6th round match of the PARI First League (FNL) between Chernomorets and Yenisey is scheduled for August 23rd at the Tsentralny Stadium in Novorossiysk. This encounter pits Chernomorets against Yenisey, and here we provide a detailed match prediction, betting odds, and key statistics to guide your picks.

Chernomorets

Chernomorets Current Form

The Novorossiysk side suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Fakel in the previous round. Sergey Pervushin’s men are yet to secure a victory in the current championship campaign, registering two draws and three losses. Their encounter with Fakel also saw the end of their six-match scoring streak in the FNL.

Offensive and Defensive Metrics

Despite their struggles, Chernomorets has managed to score 5 goals, making them the highest-scoring team among the bottom half of the league table, where they currently sit in 17th place. However, their attacking efficiency is questionable, as they average only 2.8 shots on target per game, a figure surpassed only by Ufa (2.2).

Chernomorets Key Statistics

• Both teams scored in 5 of Chernomorets’ last 6 matches in the First League.
• At home, the club has avoided defeat in 9 of their last 11 FNL encounters (5 wins, 4 draws).
• Chernomorets has conceded goals in 6 of their last 7 home league games.

Predicted Chernomorets Lineup (4-3-3)

Mikhail Shtepa – Vasily Cherov, Dmitry Stotsky, Zaurbek Pliev, Ilya Kirsh – Oleg Nikolaev, Eldiyar Zarypbokov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Anton Krachkovsky.

Yenisey

Yenisey’s Season Overview

The Krasnoyarsk team finds itself one position below Chernomorets in the league standings. Andrey Tikhonov’s squad is also without a win in the current championship, having recorded two draws and three defeats. In their last match against Arsenal (a 2-2 draw), Yenisey conceded at least two goals for the fourth time in the FNL 2025/26 season.

Defensive Vulnerabilities and Offensive Habits

Overall, Yenisey has conceded 9 goals, which is the highest in the league. Interestingly, in their last outing, the club only managed 1 corner kick, significantly below their average of 4 per game.

Yenisey Key Statistics

• The Krasnoyarsk side conceded the first goal in 5 of their last 6 championship matches.
• On the road, the team has failed to win in 6 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (4 draws, 2 losses).
• Yenisey has scored no more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 away FNL fixtures.

Predicted Yenisey Lineup (4-5-1)

Egor Shamov – Artur Gilyazetdinov, Alexander Maslovsky, Rostislav Ogienko, Emerson Illoy-Ayet – Egor Ivanov, Andrea Chukanov, Andrey Mazurin, Nikita Bogatyrev, Alexander Kanaplin – Luka Ratkovic.

Match Referee

Referee Profile: Yaroslav Khromey (Russia)

Yaroslav Khromey (Russia)

Matches officiated – 12 (First League, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 17%.

Chernomorets vs Yenisey Match Prediction

Anticipating an Open Contest

Both teams surprisingly approach this head-to-head encounter as genuine outsiders in the tournament standings. This situation is likely to fuel their desire to clinch their first victory of the championship. I anticipate that neither opponent will be content to sit back defensively, especially given the known unreliability of both clubs’ backlines.

Defensive Concerns for Both Sides

Chernomorets has conceded in every single FNL 2025/26 match they’ve played so far. Yenisey, while managing one clean sheet, has allowed at least two goals in each of their other four matches. It’s no coincidence that both teams are also among the bottom four in terms of Expected Goals Against (xGA).

Offensive Potential and Recovery Hopes

Conversely, both opponents show relatively decent attacking capabilities. Chernomorets’ extended scoring run in the championship was only halted in a tough match against Fakel, a team renowned for having the league’s most robust defense. While Yenisey’s creative output appears subdued at the moment, I am confident they will overcome this poor patch and regain their previous form.

My Final Prediction

My prediction: Total Goals Over 2  with odds of 1.70

Expert Author

Author: Alexey Tarabrin