Match Overview

The 12th-round match of the (FNL) between Chernomorets and KAMAZ is scheduled for September 29 at the Tsentralny Stadium in Novorossiysk. This detailed preview offers insights, statistics, and a betting forecast for the Chernomorets vs KAMAZ encounter, including coefficients and key data.

Chernomorets Team Analysis

Chernomorets recently suffered a 0-1 away defeat to SKA-Khabarovsk in the previous round, marking their sixth loss of the current championship campaign (2 wins, 3 draws). This result also ended a three-match scoring streak for the Novorossiysk side in the FNL. Despite this, with 13 goals scored, Chernomorets remains one of the more prolific teams in the lower half of the standings, where Vadim Evseev’s squad occupies 15th place. However, it’s worth noting that the team has conceded goals in 12 consecutive First League matches.

• Chernomorets has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
• At home, the club has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 14 FNL games (7 wins, 4 draws).
• In 7 of their previous 9 matches in this tournament, the Novorossiysk team scored no more than once.

Chernomorets Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Maksim Matyusha – Oleg Nikolaev, Stanislav Puzanov, Zaurbek Pliev, Evgeny Tonevitsky – Zaur Tarba, Anton Antonov, Kirill Morozov – Ilya Zhigulev, Said Aliev, Vladislav Lozhkin.

KAMAZ Team Analysis

KAMAZ played to a goalless draw at home against Shinnik in the last round (0-0). Ildar Akhmetzyanov’s men have secured just one victory in their last 5 league outings (3 draws, 1 loss). Furthermore, after an 11-match scoring run in the FNL, the team has now failed to score in two consecutive games. Notably, KAMAZ didn’t manage a single shot on target against Yaroslavl, despite an average total of 4.7 shots per game. In the overall standings, the club has slipped to 6th place.

• The team has conceded goals in 13 of their last 15 First League matches.
• Away from home, KAMAZ has avoided defeat in 6 of their last 7 league matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
• In 6 of their last 8 away games in this tournament, the club scored exactly 1 or 2 goals.

KAMAZ Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Artur Anisimov – Georgy Yudintsev, Dmitry Tananeev, Daniil Marugin, Ruslan Ayukin – David Khubaev, Roman Zashchepkin, Ruslan Apekov, Mukhammad Sultonov, Renat Golybin – David Karaev.

Referee Information

Anatoly Zhabchenko (Russia)

Referee Statistics (2024/25 – 2025/26 First League)

Matches officiated – 13;

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 65;

Average yellow cards per match – 5;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties awarded – 23%.

Match Prediction: Chernomorets vs KAMAZ

Analysis of Goal-scoring Trends

It’s unusual to see KAMAZ, a team that regularly finds the net, fail to score in two consecutive matches. However, their recent opponents, Shinnik and Rotor, presented formidable defensive challenges. These two clubs are among the top three in the league for defensive solidity, having conceded as many goals combined as KAMAZ itself. Additionally, both Yaroslavl and Volgograd boast the longest clean sheet streaks in the current championship. Chernomorets, on the other hand, tends to be more permissive at the back.

Chernomorets’ Defensive Vulnerabilities

After 11 rounds, none of Chernomorets’ goalkeepers have managed a clean sheet. Novorossiysk has already faced four of the five lowest-scoring teams in the league but still couldn’t keep a clean sheet against their attacks. This suggests a significant vulnerability, especially when facing a team like KAMAZ, which ranks among the top six in the championship for creating and converting scoring opportunities. Prior to their match in Volgograd against Rotor, Ildar Akhmetzyanov’s side had scored in seven consecutive away First League fixtures. I anticipate that a new scoring streak will begin for KAMAZ in Novorossiysk.

My Betting Forecast

My prediction: KAMAZ Total Goals Over 0.5 with a coefficient of 1.55

Author of the Forecast

Author: Алексей Тарабрин