Match Overview

Matchday 3 of the 2025/26 group stage will see Real Madrid (Spain) host Juventus (Italy) on October 22nd at the Santiago Bernabéu stadium. This comprehensive preview offers a detailed prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Real Madrid vs Juventus clash.

Real Madrid’s Current Form

In the previous round, Xabi Alonso’s side secured a dominant 5-0 away victory against Kairat, collecting three crucial points. Kylian Mbappé was instrumental in this win, netting his third away hat-trick in the Champions League, which propelled the Frenchman to the top of the tournament’s scoring charts with five goals. This result marked Real Madrid’s largest Champions League win since the 2021/22 season, and it was also their first clean sheet in eight European matches. The Madrid giants currently sit second in the group standings with six points.

Key Statistics for Real Madrid

• The team has remained undefeated in 19 of their last 21 home Champions League matches (16 wins, 3 draws).
• The club’s players have scored at least twice in 8 of their last 10 home European fixtures.
• Real Madrid has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 home Champions League encounters.

Real Madrid Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Thibaut Courtois – Álvaro Carreras, Raúl Asensio, Éder Militão, Federico Valverde – Vinicius Júnior, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Arda Güler – Kylian Mbappé. 

Defenders Dani Carvajal, Antonio Rüdiger, and Ferland Mendy, along with midfielder Dani Ceballos, will miss the match due to injuries. Additionally, the participation of defenders Trent Alexander-Arnold, David Alaba, and Dean Huijsen is doubtful due to their respective knocks.

Juventus’ Recent Performance

Igor Tudor’s men squandered a lead against Villarreal in their last Champions League outing, conceding a late equalizer to draw 2-2 away from home. Consequently, Juventus has failed to win in eight of their last ten Champions League matches (5 draws, 3 losses). Furthermore, the club has conceded at least two goals in 4 of their previous 5 European fixtures. The Turin side has only two points, placing them 23rd in the group standings. It’s worth noting that Juventus has remained unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 encounters against Spanish opponents in the Champions League group stage (4 wins, 3 draws).

Key Statistics for Juventus

• The club has failed to win in 10 of their last 11 away Champions League matches (5 draws, 5 losses).
• Both teams have scored in 7 of Juventus’ last 10 away European encounters.
• The Bianconeri have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 10 Champions League away games.

Juventus Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Michele Di Gregorio – Federico Gatti, Lloyd Kelly, Daniele Rugani – Andrea Cambiaso, Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Pierre Kalulu – Francisco Conceição, Jonathan David, Kenan Yıldız.

Defenders Gleison Bremer and Juan Cabal are unavailable due to injuries.

Match Official

Referee: Slavko Vinčić (Slovenia)

Matches officiated: 19 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows): 67;

Average yellow cards per match: 3.5;

Red cards shown: 0;

Average fouls per match: 25;

Penalties awarded: 21%.

Real Madrid vs Juventus Match Prediction

Real Madrid’s attacking prowess is undeniable; they consistently find the back of the net at home. The last time the team failed to score at the Santiago Bernabéu in the Champions League was against CSKA Moscow back in 2018. Furthermore, in the current European campaign, the Royal Club has already scored seven goals, a tally surpassed only by Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund (with 8 goals each). However, the Madrid side has also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 home Champions League matches.

Juventus has scored six goals in their first two Champions League group stage matches this season and generally doesn’t struggle with scoring. Even on the road, the Turin giants are regular scorers, finding the net in 13 of their last 17 away European games, and scoring at least twice in seven of those fixtures. Nevertheless, defensive errors frequently plague the Italian side, often preventing them from securing wins: in their last 11 Champions League away matches, Juventus has managed to keep a clean sheet only twice.

Considering both teams’ offensive capabilities and recent defensive vulnerabilities, I anticipate an effective attacking display from both sides. Therefore, my prediction is: ‘Both Teams to Score – Yes’ with odds of 1.70.