Match Preview: Pafos vs Bayern

The 2025/26 second-round group stage match between Pafos (Cyprus) and Bayern (Germany) is set to take place on September 30th at the Alphamega Stadium in Limassol. This forecast provides detailed insights, betting tips, odds, and statistics for the highly anticipated encounter between Pafos and Bayern.

Pafos FC Team Analysis

Juan Carlos Carcedo’s squad secured a valuable goalless draw in their away fixture against Olympiacos in the first round, impressively playing with ten men from the 26th minute. This strong showing extends Pafos’ unbeaten run in the Champions League to seven matches, which includes four wins and three draws. Furthermore, the Cypriot side has managed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last six European encounters. Currently, Pafos holds the 21st position in the overall group stage standings.

Key Statistics for Pafos

• Fewer than three goals were scored in 6 of the team’s last 7 Champions League matches.
• The club conceded a maximum of one goal in their previous seven Champions League fixtures.
• The Cypriots scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 Champions League games.

Pafos Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Neofytos Michael – David Gomez Goldar, Derrick Luckassen, David Luiz, João Correia – Ivan Šunjić, Vlad Dragomir, Pepe Rodrigues – Mislav Oršić, Jajá, Landry Dimata.

Pafos Team News

Forward Bruno is suspended for this match.

Bayern Munich Team Analysis

In their opening fixture, Vincent Kompany’s men secured a convincing 3-1 home victory against Chelsea. Bayern has suffered only one defeat in their last eight Champions League matches, recording five wins and two draws. The club has also netted at least two goals in four of their previous five European outings. However, the Munich giants have kept just two clean sheets in their last ten Champions League confrontations. Bayern currently sits in sixth place in the overall group stage table.

Key Statistics for Bayern

• The team failed to win in 7 of their last 10 away Champions League matches (2 draws, 5 losses).
• The club conceded in 9 of their previous 10 away European fixtures.
• At least three goals were scored in 7 of the Germans’ last 8 away Champions League games.

Bayern Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Manuel Neuer – Sacha Boey, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Aleksandar Pavlović, Joshua Kimmich, Luis Díaz – Harry Kane.

Bayern Team News

Defenders Josip Stanišić, Alphonso Davies, and Hiroki Ito, along with midfielder Jamal Musiala, are currently injured.

Referee Profile: Manfredas Lukjancukas

Manfredas Lukjancukas (Lithuania)

Matches officiated – 15 (International fixtures, 2024/25-2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 33%.

Match Prediction: Pafos vs Bayern

In their inaugural Champions League season, the Cypriots have performed exceptionally well. Pafos successfully navigated three qualifying rounds and have already secured their first points in the group stage. Although they failed to score in their first-round match against Olympiacos, this was largely influenced by an early red card. Therefore, it’s reasonable to expect another productive attacking display from the hosts, even against such high-caliber opponents.

Especially considering Bayern’s inconsistent defensive record, particularly in away matches. In their last ten away Champions League encounters, the Munich side kept only one clean sheet, conceding at least two goals in five of those games. Furthermore, the German team allowed opponents to score in 6 of their previous 8 Bundesliga away fixtures.

I anticipate the Cypriots will find the net against the German giants. Therefore, my prediction is: Pafos Total Goals Over 0.5 with odds of 2.08.