Match Overview

The 3rd round group stage match of the 2025/26 , featuring Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) and Paris Saint-Germain (France), is scheduled for October 21st at the BayArena in Leverkusen. This preview offers a match prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Bayer vs PSG encounter.

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen’s Campaign

Having changed their coach early in the season, Bayer Leverkusen, under Kasper Hjulmand, began their journey with two draws. These came against less prominent teams like Copenhagen and PSV. Without a win and with only 2 points, the team is currently positioned 25th in the overall tournament standings, placing them outside the playoff qualification zone. The German side’s winless streak in the extends to four matches (2 draws, 2 losses). Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that Bayer has suffered only one home defeat in their last seven European outings in this competition.

Bayer Leverkusen Key Statistics

• The club has failed to score more than one goal in 8 of their last 11 matches.
• Bayer Leverkusen has covered a (+1.5) handicap in 6 of their last 8 games in this tournament.
• The German side has conceded goals in 5 of their last 6 fixtures.

Bayer Leverkusen Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Mark Flekken – Loïc Badé, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Arthur, Alejandro Grimaldo, Ignacio Fernandez, Aleix Garcia – Elies Ben Seghir, Kristijan Kofana, Ernest Poku.

Team News: Bayer Leverkusen

Defenders Axel Tuanzebe and Jarell Quansah, midfielders Malik Tillman, Exequiel Palacios, Lucas Vazquez, and Nathan Tella, along with forward Patrik Schick, are all questionable for the match due to injuries.

PSG

PSG’s Dominant Start

Paris Saint-Germain, as befits the reigning champions, navigated their opening two fixtures with authority. They first comfortably defeated Atalanta, then, despite significant squad absences, secured a hard-fought comeback victory in their away game against Barcelona. Consequently, Luis Enrique’s squad is among the six teams that remain unbeaten in the current campaign. The French giants have now won five consecutive matches in this competition, extending their scoring streak to eight games.

PSG Key Statistics

• PSG has found the net in their last seven away matches in the .
• Their decisive streak in this tournament stands at 16 games (12 wins, 4 losses), with no draws.
• The team has secured victories in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures in the .

PSG Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Lucas Chevalier – Willian Pacho, Illia Zabarnyi, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Vitinha, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Lee Kang-in – Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Team News: PSG

Midfielders Fabián Ruiz and João Neves are recovering from injuries. The participation of defender Marquinhos and forward Ousmane Dembélé is uncertain.

Match Official

Jesús Gil Manzano (Spain)

Referee Statistics

Matches Officiated – 13 (International fixtures, 2024/25–2025/26 seasons);

Yellow Cards Shown (including second yellows) – 56;

Average Yellow Cards per Match – 4.3;

Red Cards Shown – 2;

Average Fouls per Match – 24;

Penalty Award Rate – 38%.

Bayer Leverkusen vs PSG Match Prediction

Analysis of Goal Trends

Encounters between these two teams in the are rarely dull, but they don’t consistently deliver a plethora of goals either. For instance, a maximum of three goals was scored in six of Bayer Leverkusen’s last seven European matches. When considering only their home games, no more than three goals were netted in 11 of the Germans’ previous 12 fixtures. Furthermore, six of the club’s last seven home matches in this tournament saw a maximum of two goals.

PSG’s Away Form and Player Absences

Overall, PSG’s matches tend to be more dynamic, but their away performances typically feature fewer goals than their home games. Only two of the French side’s last ten away matches have seen four or more goals scored. The absence of several key players, who have already contributed goals in the , could further impact the scoring potential of this match. Bayer Leverkusen is facing similar squad concerns.

Final Prediction

Our prediction is “Total Goals Under 3.5” with odds of 1.56.

Author: Nikita Kudryavtsev