Barcelona
01.10.2025 22:00 (GMT+2)
PSG
[1] - 1.90
Х - 4.20
[2] - 3.55
1$
1.90
1$
3.55

Barcelona — PSG : Match Preview and Prediction for October 01,2025

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Barcelona vs PSG: Match Preview

Match Overview

The 2025/26 second-round group stage match between “Barcelona” and “PSG” will take place on October 1st at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys. Here’s our prediction and betting tips, including odds and statistics for Barcelona vs PSG.

Barcelona Team Analysis

The Catalans secured an away victory against Newcastle in the previous round, thanks to a brace from Marcus Rashford (2:1). This win marked their first in the last four Champions League matches (2 draws, 1 loss). Notably, Barcelona conceded fewer than three goals for the first time in this period. The Spanish side has consistently scored in 21 consecutive Champions League games, with Hansi Flick’s team netting at least twice in five of their last six encounters.

Barcelona’s Key Statistics

  • Both teams scored in 8 of Barcelona’s last 10 Champions League matches.
  • At home, the team has won 5 of their last 7 matches in this tournament (2 draws).
  • At least one goal was scored in both halves in 13 of Barcelona’s last 15 home Champions League games.

Barcelona’s Predicted Lineup (3-4-3)

Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Ronald Araujo – Gerard Martin, Pedri, Dani Olmo, Frenkie de Jong – Marcus Rashford, Robert Lewandowski, Ferran Torres.

Barcelona Team News

Goalkeepers Joan Garcia and Marc-Andre ter Stegen, forward Raphinha Dias, and midfielders Fermin Lopez and Gavi are currently injured. Forward Lamine Yamal has recovered from his injury.

PSG Team Analysis

The Parisians started the tournament with a confident 4:0 victory over Atalanta. Luis Enrique’s side has won 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches, and even managed to score in their only defeat during this period. Furthermore, the French team has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 Champions League games. In the first round, PSG’s attacking performance was only surpassed by Eintracht, who scored 5 goals.

PSG’s Key Statistics

  • At least three goals were scored in 5 of PSG’s last 6 Champions League matches.
  • In 6 of their last 7 away Champions League games, the club conceded no more than one goal.
  • On the road in this tournament, the team has won 5 of their last 6 matches (1 loss).

PSG’s Predicted Lineup (4-3-3)

Lucas Chevalier – Willian Pacho, Ilya Zabarnyi, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Lee Kang-In, Senny Mayulu – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Ibrahima Mbaye.

PSG Team News

Defender Marquinhos and forward Ousmane Dembele, who won the Ballon d’Or last week, are in the team’s infirmary. Forwards Desire Doue, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and midfielders Vitinha, João Neves are questionable.

Match Official

Michael Oliver (England)

Referee Statistics

Matches officiated – 20 (International matches, 2024/25-2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 80;

Average yellow cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties awarded – 30%.

Barcelona vs PSG Match Prediction

These rivals boast a rich history of clashes in the Champions League. All previous encounters have delivered a significant amount of emotion and goals, and the upcoming match is unlikely to be an exception.

 

Barcelona’s Defensive Concerns and Attacking Prowess

Prior to their match against Newcastle, the Catalans conceded 9 goals in three Champions League games. They also failed to keep a clean sheet in England. On the international stage, Barcelona faces defensive challenges, with only two clean sheets in their last 10 Champions League matches. For the upcoming game, Hansi Flick will also be without two goalkeepers. However, the head coach has no concerns about the attack: the club has scored at least twice in 12 of their last 14 Champions League encounters.

 

PSG’s Potent Attack and Defensive Solidity

The Parisians are impressive in terms of scoring, having netted 135 goals in official matches in 2025 – the most among the top 5 leagues. This figure could have been even higher, but the French team has failed to convert 4 of their last 8 penalties in the Champions League. Away from home in this tournament, Luis Enrique’s charges have a 6-match scoring streak, during which they have scored 14 times. Unlike Barcelona, the club appears solid in defense, yet in their last 5 head-to-head Champions League matches against the Catalans, PSG conceded 12 goals. However, over this same period, they also scored 12 goals against the Spanish side.

 

Our Betting Tip

My prediction: “Total Goals Over 3” with odds of 1.62

Predictions for Barcelona vs PSG, October 1, 2025

Aleksey Karpuk Profile Picture
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Aleksey Karpuk
80 / 10 / 76 / ROI -8.0%

Expert Prediction by Aleksey Karpuk

Wednesday marks one of the European season’s biggest football clashes – Barcelona will host PSG. The teams narrowly missed a “dream final” in the last Champions League, and now Flick’s and Enrique’s squads will face each other in the group stage, both grappling with some squad issues.

Barcelona approaches their ninth official match of the campaign with eight victories under their belt – only an away game against Rayo Vallecano (1:1) ended without a win. On Sunday, the Catalans nearly squandered a victory over Real Sociedad (2:1), when Kubo hit the crossbar in a very dangerous moment late in the game. Despite leading La Liga in xG (18.37), the Blaugrana have conceded 7.84 xGA. The loss of key players – goalkeeper Garcia and attacking leader Raphinha – could negatively impact the final outcome.

A week ago, PSG triumphed at the annual Ballon d’Or ceremony. The Parisian club was recognized as the best in 2025, with Enrique and Dembele winning awards for best coach and player. On Saturday, the “capital” team defeated Auxerre (2:0), accumulating 1.77 xG. In six Ligue 1 rounds, new goalkeeper Chevalier has kept four clean sheets – as many as Donnarumma managed in the entire previous season.

In Catalonia, PSG will be without Dembele and Marquinhos, but Enrique has an excellent depth on the bench. The last time PSG secured a significant away victory at Barcelona was in April 2024 (1:4) – their tactical stability suggests a valuable coefficient for a “double chance” bet.

Prediction
PSG to win or draw
Odds
Coefficient
1.75
 

History of confrontations

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Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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