CRB — Avai : Match Preview and Prediction for October 04,2025

CRB’s Recent Performance Woes

Analyzing the facts, not just reputations, CRB’s last match saw them suffer a 2-4 away defeat against Remo. Conceding four goals is a significant concern for any defense, especially as the season nears its conclusion. The statistics from that game clearly highlight the home side’s problems: despite dominating possession with 72%, they managed only 5 shots on target out of 24 attempts. Their Expected Goals (xG) metric stood at a mere 1.00, which is strikingly low given such overwhelming control of the ball.

Key Defensive Absences for CRB

Now, let’s look at the squad situation. A major issue for CRB is the suspension of their crucial defender, Henri. He accumulated his third yellow card and will miss this fixture. Henri has been a consistent presence in Eduardo Barroca’s defensive line, and his absence represents a significant vulnerability in their backline. Furthermore, the participation of another central defender, Fábio Alemão, is questionable due to muscle discomfort, potentially exacerbating their defensive woes.

Overall Form and Defensive Instability

Overall, CRB’s current form raises considerable questions. The trend from available data speaks volumes: CRB leads the league in the number of losses over the last 15 rounds. Eight defeats during this period is not the kind of record that inspires confidence when facing a historically difficult opponent. Even playing at home might not be enough, and their weakened defense only compounds the precarious situation.

Avai’s Recent Form: Context Matters

Indeed, Avaí also approaches this match not in their best spirits, having lost their last two fixtures. However, a deeper look reveals important context. The heavy 1-5 defeat against Marcílio Dias occurred in the Santa Catarina State Cup, where, according to reports, the squad consisted mainly of U-20 and U-17 youth players. This result bears no relevance to the actual strength of their main squad in Série B.

Internal Challenges and External Factors

The 0-2 loss to Coritiba in the league is more indicative, yet even here, nuances exist. Their opponent at the time was battling for the league leadership. Internally, things at Avaí are far from ideal. News reports mention delayed salaries, with only one payment made out of outstanding debts. Investigations related to the club’s sale and the suspension of forward Alef Manga are also cited. All these factors contribute to a tense atmosphere within the club.

Avai’s Strong Head-to-Head Record

Nevertheless, there is one undeniable fact favoring Avaí: their historical head-to-head record. In their last seven direct encounters, CRB has failed to secure a single victory against the “Lions of the Island.” Moreover, the most recent game between these two teams, played in June 2025, ended with a 1-0 win for Avaí.