Amazonas — Novorizontino : Match Preview and Prediction for October 18,2025
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Amazonas
Amazonas: Struggling Defense
Amazonas is undoubtedly the primary struggling team in Serie B. The squad is firmly entrenched in the penultimate 19th position, a precipitous decline primarily attributed to their catastrophic defensive performance. This isn’t merely a problem; it’s a genuine defensive sieve, the worst in the entire league.
Defensive Vulnerabilities Highlighted
Conceding 48 goals in 32 rounds – an average of 1.5 goals per game – clearly highlights their defensive woes. The statistics scream for themselves: Amazonas leads the league in the highest number of goals conceded over the last 20 rounds, having let in 31 goals.
Home Form and Injury Impact
Even on their home turf, the team lacks reliability. Over their last 10 home matches, Amazonas has conceded 14 goals, marking the third-worst record in the division. The situation is further exacerbated by significant personnel losses in the defensive line, with several players, including Iverton and key starter Carlos Acapo, sidelined due to injuries.
League Standings
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Carlos Acapo Starting Defender
18 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 4 out since2 matches missed - Injury Iverton Rotation Defender6 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 8 out since1 match missed
- Injury Fernando Neto Reserve Midfielder7 matches played0 goals scoredJune 30 out since18 matches missed
- Injury Willian Barbio Reserve Forward9 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 5 out since7 matches missed
- Injury Elison Reserve Defender9 matches played0 goals scoredMay 3 out since26 matches missed
Players Doubtful for Next Match
- Injury Enrique Almeida Starting Forward24 matches played5 goals scoredOctober 8 out since1 match missed
- Injury Gabriel Novaes Rotation Forward4 matches played0 goals scoredAugust 31 out since8 matches missed
- Injury Gabriel Domingos Rotation Midfielder13 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 8 out since1 match missed
- Injury Tomas Luciano Reserve Defender0 matches played0 goals scoredJuly 6 out since17 matches missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Ramirez Kevin Key Forward25 matches played10 goals scoredOctober 8 out since1 match missed
Novorizontino
Novorizontino’s Strong Form
In stark contrast, the visiting team, Novorizontino, presents an entirely different picture. They are a well-oiled machine, currently sitting in third place and seriously contending not just for promotion to Serie A, but for the championship title itself. The team has hit its stride, securing two consecutive victories, the most recent being a dominant 3-0 thrashing of Operário.
Attacking Prowess and Key Players
That match vividly demonstrated the Tigers’ full attacking power. Veteran Lucca finally broke his year-long goal drought with a brace, and the entire team generated an impressive 2.50 xG in scoring opportunities.
Reinforced Attack
However, the primary advantage for our prediction lies in the return of their formidable attacking duo from suspension. Vaguininho and Robson are ready to step back onto the field. Their inclusion will add significant versatility and firepower to an offense that was already more than convincing.
League Standings
Injuries and Suspensions
- Suspension Cesar Martins Key Defender30 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 12 out since0 matches missed
- Suspension Luis Oyama Starting Midfielder45 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 12 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Marlon Rotation Midfielder33 matches played4 goals scoredJuly 27 out since13 matches missed
- Injury Rai Ramos Rotation Defender5 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 20 out since5 matches missed
- Injury Renato Palm Reserve Defender8 matches played1 goal scoredApril 22 out since30 matches missed
- Injury Vitinho Reserve Forward1 match played0 goals scoredApril 22 out since30 matches missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Vaguininho Starting Forward32 matches played6 goals scoredOctober 9 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Robson Starting Forward30 matches played6 goals scoredOctober 9 out since1 match missed
- Injury Caio Dantas Rotation Forward7 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 12 out since0 matches missed
Match Outlook
So, what do we have? The league’s worst defense facing one of the most potent attacks, which has also received a double reinforcement. The outlook, in my opinion, is clear. Amazonas regularly concedes many goals at home, and Novorizontino, under Enderson Moreira, knows how to dismantle such defensive setups.
Mark Thompson
