Palmeiras — Santos : Match Preview and Prediction for November 07,2025

Palmeiras’ Title Charge and Attacking Dominance

Let’s face the facts. Palmeiras is marching towards the title, and Flamengo’s stumble in the last round (a 2-2 draw with Sao Paulo) presents Abel Ferreira’s squad with an excellent opportunity to extend their lead. Victory is imperative, and currently, the ‘Big Green’ are securing wins through absolute attacking dominance.

A Goal-Scoring Powerhouse

Verdão is a formidable attacking machine right now. The statistics speak for themselves: the team leads the league in wins and ranks second in goals scored with an impressive 55 goals in 30 matches! Their recent performances have been goal-fests: 4-0 against LDU Quito, 5-1 against Bragantino. Over the last 10 league fixtures, Palmeiras has netted a remarkable 27 goals.

Home Form and Offensive Metrics

Season statistics further highlight their immense scoring ability. Palmeiras leads the league in shots per game (14.9) and is second in big chances created (2.57 per match). They consistently press forward and unleash shots. Crucially for our prediction, this attacking trend is even more pronounced at home. It’s a rock-solid pattern: at least 3 goals have been scored in 8 of Palmeiras’ last 9 home encounters.

Key Absence: Aníbal Moreno’s Suspension

Additionally, consider the personnel implications. Key defensive midfielder Aníbal Moreno is suspended. He’s a crucial starter who anchors the midfield. His absence could disrupt the team’s balance, potentially leading to a more open game from both sides.

Santos’ Dire Defensive Situation

Now, let’s turn our attention to Santos, where the defensive outlook appears grim. The team has just plummeted into the relegation zone following Vitória’s recent victory. This situation dictates that a defensive posture is not an option; they must seek offensive opportunities and fight for points.

Defensive Woes and Key Suspension

The core issue is that Santos hasn’t secured a win in three consecutive rounds, and their defense is in disarray. Over the last 5 matchdays, the team has conceded 8 goals, which is among the worst records in the league. Compounding their woes is the suspension of key defender Luan Peres, who accumulated his third yellow card. Facing the league’s most potent attack without a primary central defender is an immense challenge.

Away Form and Permissive Defense

Santos’ away game statistics also support our analysis. In 7 of their last 9 away fixtures involving the ‘Fish,’ the total goals exceeded 2.5. The team not only attempts to play offensively but also allows opponents considerable freedom in front of their goal. Even in their recent 1-1 draw against Fortaleza, Santos permitted 13 shots, with 8 of them on target.