Gremio — Vitoria Bahia : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

Grêmio’s Current Form and Morale Boost

Grêmio approaches this home fixture with high spirits and renewed confidence. Their recent hard-fought 3-2 comeback victory in the significant Gre-Nal derby against Internacional has revitalized the team. This crucial win ended a long winless streak in the classic derby and showcased the squad’s resilience under the guidance of Mano Menezes.

Performance Against Top Teams

Following the derby, Grêmio faced Botafogo, one of the league leaders. A 1-1 draw on their home ground is a respectable outcome, especially considering the expected goals (xG) statistics, where Grêmio outperformed their opponent (1.81 vs 1.18). This suggests the team generated more high-quality scoring opportunities and was arguably closer to securing a victory.

Squad News and Key Returns

Positive news also emanates from within the club. The promising young forward Alisson, who netted the third goal in the derby, has extended his contract until 2029. This development bolsters team morale and points to a healthy atmosphere within the squad. Furthermore, both coach Mano Menezes and key midfielder Arthur are set to return after serving their suspensions, providing significant reinforcements.

Vitória Bahia’s Deep Crisis

Vitória Bahia is currently in a profound crisis, and this is more than just an understatement. The team is positioned in the relegation zone, occupying the 17th spot in the league standings. The situation is further complicated by a recent managerial change: new head coach Jair Ventura will lead the team against Grêmio, having only conducted four training sessions with the players. Any talk of team cohesion or the implementation of fresh tactical approaches is entirely premature.

Away Form Woes

Vitória Bahia’s away problems are systemic and deeply rooted. A look at the bare statistics reveals a dire picture: in 12 away matches this season, the team has failed to secure a single victory, suffering seven defeats and recording five draws. The goal difference in these fixtures is catastrophic: 5 goals scored against 22 conceded. This marks the worst away performance record in the entire league.

Squad Challenges and Head-to-Head

Adding to the squad’s woes are significant suspensions. Midfielders Dudu and Pepê will be unavailable for the match in Porto Alegre. While Baralhas returns after serving his ban, his presence alone will likely be insufficient to patch the gaping holes in the midfield. The head-to-head history also offers no comfort to the visitors: Vitória Bahia has been unable to defeat Grêmio in their last ten consecutive encounters.