Gremio
28.09.2025 17:00 (GMT+2)
Vitória Bahia
[1] - 1.77
Х - 3.62
[2] - 4.7
1$
1.77
1$
4.7

Gremio — Vitoria Bahia : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

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Grêmio team logo

Grêmio

Brazil flag
Mano Menezes
Coach since Apr 21, 2025

Grêmio’s Current Form and Morale Boost

Grêmio approaches this home fixture with high spirits and renewed confidence. Their recent hard-fought 3-2 comeback victory in the significant Gre-Nal derby against Internacional has revitalized the team. This crucial win ended a long winless streak in the classic derby and showcased the squad’s resilience under the guidance of Mano Menezes.

Performance Against Top Teams

Following the derby, Grêmio faced Botafogo, one of the league leaders. A 1-1 draw on their home ground is a respectable outcome, especially considering the expected goals (xG) statistics, where Grêmio outperformed their opponent (1.81 vs 1.18). This suggests the team generated more high-quality scoring opportunities and was arguably closer to securing a victory.

Squad News and Key Returns

Positive news also emanates from within the club. The promising young forward Alisson, who netted the third goal in the derby, has extended his contract until 2029. This development bolsters team morale and points to a healthy atmosphere within the squad. Furthermore, both coach Mano Menezes and key midfielder Arthur are set to return after serving their suspensions, providing significant reinforcements.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF-GA
Pts
11
Internacional-RS
24
8
6
10
29-36
30
12
Corinthians-SP
24
7
8
9
24-29
29
13
Grêmio
24
7
8
9
24-30
29
14
Ceará
23
7
7
9
22-23
28
15
Santos
23
7
5
11
22-32
26
Copa Sudamericana
Show Full Table

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Injury Martin Braithwaite Key Player FWD Key player rating star
    35 played matches
    15 goals scored
    Sep 13 out since
    2 missed matches
  • Injury Fabian Balbuena Starting Player DEF Starting player rating star
    3 played matches
    1 goal scored
    Aug 24 out since
    4 missed matches
  • Injury Gustavo Cuéllar Starting Player MF Starting player rating star
    18 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Sep 21 out since
    1 missed match
  • Injury Carlos Vinícius Rotation Player FWD Rotation player rating star
    4 played matches
    1 goal scored
    Sep 21 out since
    1 missed match
  • Injury Miguel Monsalve Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    28 played matches
    3 goals scored
    Jul 17 out since
    12 missed matches
  • Injury Mathías Villasanti Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    34 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Aug 17 out since
    5 missed matches
  • Injury João Lucas Reserve Player DEF Reserve player rating star
    12 played matches
    1 goal scored
    Aug 3 out since
    7 missed matches

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Rikelme Freitas dos Santos Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    11 played matches
    1 goal scored
    Aug 24 out since
    4 missed matches
  • Injury Rodrigo Ely Reserve Player DEF Reserve player rating star
    9 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Apr 13 out since
    30 missed matches

Players Returned to Squad

  • Suspension Arthur Melo Key Player MF Key player rating star
    2 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Sep 21 out since
    1 missed match

Vitória Bahia team logo

Vitória Bahia

Brazil flag
Jair Ventura
Coach since Sep 24, 2025

Vitória Bahia’s Deep Crisis

Vitória Bahia is currently in a profound crisis, and this is more than just an understatement. The team is positioned in the relegation zone, occupying the 17th spot in the league standings. The situation is further complicated by a recent managerial change: new head coach Jair Ventura will lead the team against Grêmio, having only conducted four training sessions with the players. Any talk of team cohesion or the implementation of fresh tactical approaches is entirely premature.

Away Form Woes

Vitória Bahia’s away problems are systemic and deeply rooted. A look at the bare statistics reveals a dire picture: in 12 away matches this season, the team has failed to secure a single victory, suffering seven defeats and recording five draws. The goal difference in these fixtures is catastrophic: 5 goals scored against 22 conceded. This marks the worst away performance record in the entire league.

Squad Challenges and Head-to-Head

Adding to the squad’s woes are significant suspensions. Midfielders Dudu and Pepê will be unavailable for the match in Porto Alegre. While Baralhas returns after serving his ban, his presence alone will likely be insufficient to patch the gaping holes in the midfield. The head-to-head history also offers no comfort to the visitors: Vitória Bahia has been unable to defeat Grêmio in their last ten consecutive encounters.

League Standings

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF-GA
Pts
15
Santos
23
7
5
11
22-32
26
16
Atlético Mineiro
22
6
7
9
21-26
25
17
Vitória Bahia
24
4
10
10
19-35
22
18
Juventude
24
6
3
15
19-46
21
19
Fortaleza-CE
24
5
6
13
24-38
21
Relegation
Show Full Table

Injuries and Suspensions

  • Injury Jamerson Starting Player DEF Starting player rating star
    24 played matches
    1 goal scored
    Jun 13 out since
    13 missed matches
  • Injury Ruben Ramos Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    1 played match
    0 goals scored
    Aug 4 out since
    6 missed matches
  • Suspension Dudu Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    2 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Sep 20 out since
    0 missed matches
  • Suspension Pepê Rotation Player MF Rotation player rating star
    17 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Sep 20 out since
    0 missed matches
  • Injury Fintelman Reserve Player GK Reserve player rating star
    2 played matches
    0 goals scored
    Aug 26 out since
    3 missed matches

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Fabrício Reserve Player FWD Reserve player rating star
    37 played matches
    4 goals scored
    Sep 20 out since
    0 missed matches

Players Returned to Squad

  • Suspension Baralhas Key Player MF Key player rating star
    35 played matches
    4 goals scored
    Sep 13 out since
    1 missed match

Match Outlook and Prediction

All indicators point towards a strong advantage for the home side in this encounter. Grêmio will be playing at their Arena, where an enthusiastic crowd of 40,000 supporters is anticipated, with tickets for several sections already sold out. The team has hit a promising stride following their derby victory and sees the return of their coach and a crucial central midfielder, further boosting their prospects. 

History of confrontations

Last matches Gremio vs Vitória Bahia

Gremio Gremio
Vitória Bahia

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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