Fortaleza CE — Vasco da Gama RJ : Match Preview and Prediction for October 16,2025

Fortaleza’s Home Form Struggles

Fortaleza’s stronghold, “Arena Castelão,” has long since crumbled. They are the second-worst home team in the league, with seven losses in 14 matches on their home turf. The trend is relentless: they have failed to win in 10 of their last 13 home games.

Internal Club Issues at Fortaleza

However, problems on the field are merely a symptom. Club CEO Marcelo Paz openly speaks of “self-sabotage” and “artificially created unhealthy atmosphere.” When the club’s top official reveals such issues to the press, it signifies severe internal problems. This explains why a team with a decent squad is struggling in the relegation zone, sitting in 18th place.

Fortaleza’s Injury and Suspension Woes

The icing on the cake is the squad collapse. Matheus Pereira, a pivotal midfielder, will miss the match due to suspension. Without him, Fortaleza has yet to win this season. Furthermore, key goalkeeper João Ricardo and defender Bruno Pacheco are in the infirmary. Moisés’ return after a six-month absence is unlikely to be a panacea; he needs time to adapt.

Vasco da Gama’s Recent Form

Now, we switch to Vasco, and here everything is precisely the opposite. Fernando Diniz’s team has picked up cruising speed, with only two losses in their last ten matches. In 8 of their last 9 games, Vasco has remained unbeaten.

Vasco’s Potent Away Attack

Their attack deserves special attention. It’s the second most effective away attack in the league, scoring an average of 1.46 goals per game. In their recent thriller against Vitória (4:3), their expected goals (xG) reached 2.89 – the team is not just converting chances but creating them in vast numbers. With Philippe Coutinho as the playmaker, an in-form Andrés Gómez, and the dangerous Ryan up front, this attack is capable of breaching any defense.

Vasco’s Offensive Power and Squad Boosts

Moreover, Vasco is the league leader in goals scored with headers, adding unpredictability to their arsenal. Important defender Cuesta returns to the defense, which will add solidity to the backline. The team looks balanced and confident, climbing higher in the table.