Fortaleza — Sao Paulo : Match Preview and Prediction for October 03,2025
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Fortaleza-CE Team Overview
Martin Palermo
Coach since September 04, 2025
Fortaleza’s Fight for Survival
The home team is desperately battling to avoid relegation in Serie A. Positioned 19th, ‘Leão’, under new coach Martin Palermo, has started to show signs of life, especially at their ‘Arena Castelão’. The team has secured two consecutive home victories, a feat not achieved in approximately a year.Defensive Resilience and Low-Scoring Wins
Crucially, both victories were low-scoring affairs. The most recent game against Sport Recife concluded with a 1-0 scoreline. This underscores their chosen strategy: stringent defensive play and maximum concentration on securing the result. The team aims to keep a clean sheet, with goalkeeper João Ricardo being the primary hope for another shutout on home turf.Team News: Defensive Reinforcements and Tactical Implications
Emanuel Brítez returns to bolster the defense after serving his suspension, reinforcing the central area. While there are losses on the defensive flanks due to accumulated cards for Bruno Pacheco and Eros Mancuso, this will only compel Palermo to construct even tighter defensive formations. In such a scenario, an open, attacking style of football is not anticipated. Historically, Fortaleza knows how to achieve results against São Paulo: their last four victories against this opponent were all secured by a single-goal margin.Fortaleza’s League Standings
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF-GA
Pts
17
Juventude
25
6
5
14
20-46
23
18
Vitória BA
25
4
10
11
20-38
22
19
Fortaleza-CE
24
5
6
13
24-38
21
20
Sport Recife
24
2
9
13
18-37
15
Relegation
Injuries and Suspensions
- Suspension Eros Mancuso Rotation Defender
35 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 27 out since0 matches missed - Suspension Bruno Pacheco Rotation Defender23 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 27 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Tinga Rotation Defender24 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 1 out since3 matches missed
Players Doubtful
- Injury Pablo Roberto Rotation Midfielder2 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 1 out since3 matches missed
- Injury Allanzinho Rotation Forward10 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 13 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Benevenuto Reserve Defender0 matches played0 goals scoredAugust 23 out since4 matches missed
- Injury Moises Reserve Forward20 matches played4 goals scoredApril 14 out since30 matches missed
Players Returning to Squad
- Suspension Emanuel Brítez Starting Defender18 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 21 out since1 match missed
Sao Paulo Team Overview
Hernán Crespo
Coach since June 18, 2025
Sao Paulo’s Deep Crisis
The ‘Tricolor’ arrive in Fortaleza amidst a profound crisis. Hernán Crespo’s side is on a downward spiral, having suffered four consecutive defeats across all competitions. Even more pertinent to our prediction, they are experiencing a complete goal drought, failing to score in four successive matches.Offensive Struggles and Goal Drought
The team’s attack appears utterly toothless. Leading forward Luciano hasn’t scored since late July. Expected goals (xG) statistics eloquently confirm this decline: the metric has dropped from 1.6 to 1.21 per game. In their last five Brazilian league outings, the team has only managed to score three times, and in three of those, they left the pitch without finding the net at all.Extensive Injury List and Defensive Losses
The situation is compounded by an epidemic of injuries and suspensions. The defense has lost key player Robert Arboleda due to accumulated yellow cards. Defenders Rafael Tolói and Nahuel Ferraresi have joined him in the infirmary. Upfront, matters are no better: André Silva and Jonathan Calleri are absent, and creative midfielder Marcos Antônio is also injured. Crespo simply lacks the resources to construct a robust attacking game.Sao Paulo’s League Standings
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF-GA
Pts
6
Bahia
25
11
7
7
33-30
40
7
Fluminense
24
10
5
9
30-31
35
8
Sao Paulo
25
9
8
8
27-25
35
9
RB Bragantino
26
9
6
11
32-38
33
10
Grêmio
26
8
9
9
28-32
33
Copa Libertadores Qualification
Copa Sudamericana
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Nahuel Ferraresi Starting Defender40 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 22 out since2 matches missed
- Injury André Silva Starting Forward43 matches played14 goals scoredAugust 25 out since6 matches missed
- Injury Marcos Antônio Starting Midfielder33 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 26 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Robert Arboleda Starting Defender36 matches played4 goals scoredSeptember 30 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Luan Silva Reserve Midfielder7 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 22 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Oscar Reserve Midfielder21 match played2 goals scoredJuly 20 out since16 matches missed
- Injury Ryan Francisco Reserve Forward15 matches played3 goals scoredJuly 12 out since18 matches missed
- Injury Jonathan Calleri Reserve Forward18 matches played3 goals scoredApril 27 out since30 matches missed
Players Doubtful
- Injury Rafael Tolói Rotation Defender3 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 30 out since0 matches missed
Mark Thompson
