Vasco da Gama
28.09.2025 00:30 (GMT+2)
Cruzeiro Mineiro
[1] - 2.76
Х - 3.05
[2] - 2.74
1$
2.76
1$
2.74

Vasco da Gama — Cruzeiro Mineiro : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

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Vasco da Gama team logo

Vasco da Gama-RJ Team Profile

Brazil flag
Fernando Diniz
Coach since May 09, 2025

Vasco da Gama’s Grueling Schedule

Fernando Diniz’s squad approaches this fixture amidst a grueling schedule. Having just played a postponed match against Bahia, the players had only a few days for recovery. This is critically short for professional football at this level, and physical fatigue will inevitably dull their attacking edge and pace.

Impact of the Bahia Victory

Indeed, the 3-1 victory over Bahia might seem impressive, but don’t let the figures deceive you. A pivotal moment in that game was the opponent’s red card in the first half, which completely gave Vasco da Gama free rein. Playing with a numerical advantage for almost an hour is a completely different scenario than facing one of the league leaders on equal terms. This accumulated fatigue, compounded by the high status of their opponent, will compel the hosts to adopt a far more cautious approach.

Key Midfield Absences

The team’s attack will be particularly impacted by the loss of key midfielders. Lucas Piton, the team’s best assist provider with 7 assists, who serves as the true engine and mastermind of all constructive actions, is injured. His absence creates a huge void in creativity. Furthermore, the participation of another crucial central axis player, Tche Tche, also sidelined with an injury, remains doubtful. While the talented Rayan returns from suspension, he will need time to regain his match rhythm.

League Table

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
11
Gremio
24
7
8
9
24-30
29
12
Ceara
23
7
7
9
22-23
28
13
Vasco da Gama-RJ
24
7
6
11
36-35
27
14
Internacional-RS
23
7
6
10
28-36
27
15
Santos
23
7
5
11
22-32
26
Copa Sudamericana
Expand Full Table

Injuries and Suspensions: Vasco da Gama

  • Injury Velikobritaniya Rotation Player FW Player rating star
    7 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 24 out since
    6 matches missed
  • Injury Jair Rotation Player MF Player rating star
    27 matches played
    1 goal scored
    September 1 out since
    4 matches missed
  • Injury Robert Renan Rotation Player DF Player rating star
    3 matches played
    0 goals scored
    September 21 out since
    1 match missed
  • Injury Thiago Mendes Rotation Player MF Player rating star
    7 matches played
    0 goals scored
    August 28 out since
    5 matches missed
  • Injury Edson Reserve Player MF Player rating star
    16 matches played
    0 goals scored
    June 13 out since
    18 matches missed

Players Doubtful

  • Injury Lucas Piton Key Player DF Player rating star
    44 matches played
    1 goal scored
    September 12 out since
    3 matches missed
  • Injury Tche Tche Key Player MF Player rating star
    37 matches played
    2 goals scored
    September 12 out since
    3 matches missed

Players Returned

  • Suspension Rayan Key Player FW Player rating star
    41 matches played
    11 goals scored
    September 21 out since
    1 match missed

Cruzeiro Mineiro team logo

Cruzeiro Mineiro Team Profile

Portugal flag
Leonardo Jardim
Coach since Feb 04, 2025

Cruzeiro’s Defensive Prowess

Cruzeiro, on the other hand, presents a completely different narrative. Leonardo Jardim’s team is renowned as one of the most well-organized in the league, and the statistics unequivocally bear this out. The Foxes boast the second-best defense in Serie A, conceding a mere 17 goals in 24 rounds. Consider this: that’s an average of just 0.71 goals per game! Their 11 clean sheets also rank as the second-highest tally across the entire championship.

Away Form and Tactical Approach

The trend in their away matches is particularly telling. In 8 out of Cruzeiro’s last 9 away fixtures, the ‘over 2.5 goals’ total was not breached. This team knows how to play pragmatically, stifling the game and securing results through an impenetrable defense. They do not rush headlong into attack; instead, they methodically stifle the opponent’s offensive efforts, which will pose an insurmountable challenge for a fatigued Vasco da Gama side.

Crucial Attacking Losses for Cruzeiro

Now, for the key factor in our forecast: Cruzeiro’s personnel losses in attack. Gabriel Barbosa, also known as Gabigol, will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. This is a significant blow to their attacking potential, as he accounts for 12 goals this season. Furthermore, the participation of another potent forward, Luis Sinisterra, who is recovering from an injury, remains doubtful. Without these two pivotal attacking players, the Foxes’ offense will evidently lose much of its potency.

League Table

#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Flamengo
23
15
6
2
48-11
51
2
Cruzeiro Mineiro
24
15
5
4
39-17
50
3
Palmeiras
22
15
4
3
36-18
49
4
Mirassol
23
11
9
3
41-23
42
Copa Libertadores
Expand Full Table

Injuries and Suspensions: Cruzeiro Mineiro

  • Suspension Lucas Villalba Key Player DF Player rating star
    33 matches played
    2 goals scored
    September 22 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Fagner Starting Player DF Player rating star
    16 matches played
    0 goals scored
    July 31 out since
    10 matches missed
  • Suspension Gabriel Barbosa Rotation Player FW Player rating star
    36 matches played
    12 goals scored
    September 22 out since
    0 matches missed
  • Injury Janderson Reserve Player DF Player rating star
    1 match played
    0 goals scored
    April 28 out since
    29 matches missed

Players Returned

  • Suspension Eduardo Rotation Player MF Player rating star
    38 matches played
    5 goals scored
    September 12 out since
    2 matches missed

Head-to-Head History Points to Low-Scoring Affair

The head-to-head history of these two clubs practically screams about the low-scoring nature of this rivalry, especially when played on Vasco da Gama’s home turf. In 5 out of the previous 6 direct encounters in Rio de Janeiro, no more than two goals were scored. The teams historically engage in very tight and cautious matches against each other, and there are no indications that this long-standing tradition will be broken in the upcoming game. 

Last matches Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro Mineiro

Vasco-da-Gama Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro Mineiro

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Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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