Sao Paulo — Ceara : Match Preview and Prediction for September 30,2025
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Sao Paulo
Hernán Crespo
Coach since June 18, 2025
Sao Paulo’s Recent Performance and Dominance
While their recent Copa Libertadores exit against LDU Quito might seem disheartening, a closer look at the match statistics reveals a different story than the 0-1 scoreline suggests. Sao Paulo commanded an impressive 75% possession and unleashed 26 shots, with 11 hitting the target. LDU’s goalkeeper made an incredible 11 saves, effectively single-handedly denying Sao Paulo. The expected goals (xG) metric for Sao Paulo was a dominant 2.84, compared to LDU’s 0.55. This wasn’t bad luck; it was total domination that simply wasn’t reflected on the scoreboard.The Fortress of Morumbis: Sao Paulo’s Home Form
Turning to the league, Sao Paulo transforms into a formidable force on their home ground, the Morumbis stadium. The team currently holds 6th place in the home table, having secured 24 points from 12 matches. Statistics further underscore this strength: they have won 6 of their last 8 home games. This consistent performance indicates that “The Tricolor” operate with a different intensity and effectiveness when playing in front of their home crowd, consistently delivering results.Squad Boost: Key Player Returns
Ahead of their clash with Ceara, Sao Paulo receives a significant squad boost. Crucially, Cedric Soares, the primary right-back, has recovered from a virus and is ready to play. His return will enhance defensive solidity and add attacking impetus on the flank. Although some players remain sidelined due to injuries, the reintegration of such a key defensive player is a substantial advantage for head coach Hernán Crespo.League Table for Sao Paulo
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
5
Botafogo Rio-de-Janeiro
25
11
7
7
35-20
40
6
Bahia
24
11
7
6
32-28
40
7
Sao Paulo
24
9
8
7
27-24
35
8
Fluminense
23
10
4
9
28-29
34
9
RB Bragantino
25
9
5
11
31-37
32
Copa Libertadores Qualification
Copa Sudamericana Qualification
Sao Paulo: Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury André Silva Starting Forward
43 matches played14 goals scoredAugust 25 out since5 matches missed - Injury Ryan Francisco Reserve Forward15 matches played3 goals scoredJuly 12 out since17 matches missed
- Injury Jonathan Calleri Reserve Forward18 matches played3 goals scoredApril 24 out since30 matches missed
Players Questionable for the Match
- Injury Cedric Soares Starting Defender38 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 19 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Oscar Rotational Midfielder21 matches played2 goals scoredJuly 20 out since15 matches missed
- Injury Luan Silva Reserve Midfielder7 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 22 out since1 match missed
Ceara
Léo Condé
Coach since July 04, 2024
Ceara’s Struggles, Especially Away from Home
Ceara is a team grappling with significant challenges, particularly when playing away from home. A glance at the away table reveals their struggles: they sit in 15th place with only 10 points accumulated from 11 matches. This clearly indicates a team that has not mastered the art of playing outside their own stadium. Their recent results further reinforce this lack of optimism, with a streak of several matches without a victory, including a 1-1 home draw against Bahia.Anemic Attack: Ceara’s Offensive Woes
The primary issue plaguing “Vozão” is their attack. The club ranks among the lowest in the league for goals scored over the past 10 rounds. Their season-long statistics are equally disheartening: 20th in average possession (41.35%), and 20th in both total passes and passing accuracy. This paints a clear picture of a team that struggles to control the game and faces immense difficulties in creating scoring opportunities.Squad Setback: A Key Suspension for Ceara
Despite the return of several players from suspensions and injuries, Ceara faces a noticeable setback. Forward Eylon will miss the upcoming match due to suspension. Given the team’s overall attacking frailty, the absence of even a rotational player who has scored 5 goals this season serves as an additional blow to their already weak offensive potential.League Table for Ceara
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
11
Vasco da Gama-RJ
25
8
6
11
38-35
30
12
Corinthians-SP
25
7
8
10
25-31
29
13
Ceara
23
7
7
9
22-23
28
14
Atletico Mineiro
23
7
7
9
22-26
28
15
Internacional-RS
24
7
7
10
29-37
28
Copa Sudamericana Qualification
Ceara: Injuries and Suspensions
- Suspension Eylon Rotational Forward31 matches played5 goals scoredSeptember 21 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Lucas Mugni Rotational Midfielder37 matches played3 goals scoredAugust 30 out since2 matches missed
Players Questionable for the Match
- Injury Luiz Otávio Reserve Defender0 matches played0 goals scoredMarch 20 out since30 matches missed
Players Returning to the Squad
- Injury Matheus Bahia Key Defender30 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 15 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Fabiano Starting Defender34 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 15 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Richardson Rotational Midfielder19 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 15 out since1 match missed
- Injury Marcos Victor Rotational Defender6 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 15 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Rodriguinho Reserve Midfielder3 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 15 out since1 match missed
Mark Thompson
