Botafogo — Flamengo : Match Preview and Prediction for October 16,2025
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Botafogo Rio de Janeiro: Team Overview
Davide Ancelotti
Coach since July 08, 2025
Botafogo’s Current Form and Offensive Struggles
Don’t be fooled by their fifth-place standing in the league table, it’s highly deceptive. Botafogo’s current reality points to a severe attacking crisis and a squad that appears to be falling apart. Their last match before the international break, a 0-2 defeat to Internacional, exposed all their underlying issues. Managing only three shots on target and registering a dismal Expected Goals (xG) figure of 0.57 is a damning indictment of their frontline’s effectiveness.Deepening Squad Crisis and Key Absences
Furthermore, their personnel situation isn’t merely problematic; it’s a full-blown catastrophe. Key midfielder Isaac Newton is suspended, leaving the midfield lacking its vital structure. The injury list is equally concerning: starting players Danilo and Alex Telles, along with crucial defender Kaio, are all sidelined. These significant gaps across all lines of the pitch present a formidable challenge for the coaching staff, as they simply lack adequate replacements.Statistical Trends Pointing to Low-Scoring Games
A glance at the statistics reinforces the narrative of low-scoring affairs: 15 of Botafogo’s last 20 matches have seen no more than two goals scored. This trend continues on their home turf, where the 2.5 goal total has not been exceeded in 8 of their last 11 games. The club currently ranks second-to-last in the league for goals scored over their previous five fixtures, unequivocally indicating that their offensive strategy is failing.League Table
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
3
Cruzeiro Mineiro
27
15
7
5
40-20
52
4
Mirassol
27
12
10
5
44-29
46
5
Botafogo Rio de Janeiro
27
12
7
8
37-23
43
6
Bahia
26
12
7
7
34-30
43
7
Fluminense
26
11
5
10
34-33
38
Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores Qualification
Copa Sudamericana
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Kaio Key Defender
15 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 2 out since1 match missed - Suspension Isaac Newton Starting Midfielder37 matches played1 goal scoredOctober 5 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Alex Telles Starting Defender44 matches played5 goals scoredSeptember 25 out since3 matches missed
- Injury Danilo Starting Midfielder11 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 18 out since5 matches missed
- Injury Marcal Rotation Defender13 matches played2 goals scoredSeptember 28 out since2 matches missed
- Injury Alvaro Montoro Rotation Midfielder18 matches played3 goals scoredOctober 8 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Neto Rotation Goalkeeper4 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 14 out since6 matches missed
- Injury Nathan Fernandes Rotation Forward16 matches played1 goal scoredAugust 31 out since8 matches missed
- Injury Jordan Barrera Reserve Midfielder1 match played0 goals scoredOctober 11 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Bastos Reserve Defender1 match played0 goals scoredJune 23 out since23 matches missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Cuiabano Rotation Defender0 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 2 out since1 match missed
- Injury Joaquín Correa Rotation Forward18 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 5 out since0 matches missed
Flamengo: Team Overview
Filipe Luis
Coach since Sep 30, 2024
Flamengo’s Title Aspirations and Muted Offense
Flamengo, another footballing giant, seems to have lost its attacking touch. While the team is firmly in the title race, their offense has appeared toothless in recent outings. They have managed to score only three goals across their last five matches. For a squad with such high ambitions and a roster of talented players, this represents a significant underperformance.Defensive Strength Contrasting with Offensive Weakness
Their 0-1 defeat to Bahia in the previous round serves as a stark illustration of these struggles. The team registered a mere three shots on target and created chances worth a paltry 0.44 xG. In contrast, Flamengo’s defense remains rock-solid, boasting the best record in the league for goals conceded over the last five rounds, highlighting a significant imbalance between their attacking and defensive capabilities.Squad Issues and Tactical Considerations
Personnel issues further exacerbate the situation. Suspensions for Danilo and Wallace Yan, coupled with a starting player injury to Saúl Ñíguez, severely limit the team’s tactical versatility. Reports suggest that the coaching staff might rest several key players due to the artificial turf at the Nilton Santos stadium, which would further diminish their creative attacking potential. To top it all off, a compelling trend emerges: in 14 of Flamengo’s last 18 away matches, fewer than three goals have been scored in total.League Table
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
1
Palmeiras
26
18
4
4
46-21
58
2
Flamengo
26
16
7
3
50-13
55
3
Cruzeiro Mineiro
27
15
7
5
40-20
52
4
Mirassol
27
12
10
5
44-29
46
Copa Libertadores
Injuries and Suspensions
- Injury Saúl Ñíguez Starting Midfielder13 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 3 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Danilo Rotation Defender23 matches played3 goals scoredOctober 6 out since0 matches missed
- Suspension Wallace Yan Reserve Midfielder27 matches played7 goals scoredOctober 6 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Erick Pulgar Reserve Defender26 matches played1 goal scoredJune 29 out since21 matches missed
Players Questionable
- Injury Michael Reserve Forward24 matches played2 goals scoredSeptember 19 out since5 matches missed
Players Returned to Squad
- Suspension Leo Pereira Starting Defender46 matches played4 goals scoredOctober 3 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Alex Sandro Rotation Defender30 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 3 out since1 match missed
Mark Thompson
