Atletico Mineiro — Mirassol : Match Preview and Prediction for September 28,2025

Atletico Mineiro’s Current Form: A Dire Situation

Let’s be frank. Bookmakers may see Atlético Mineiro as the favorite, but I’m looking at the hard facts, and facts are stubborn. “Galo” is languishing in 16th place in the table, just three points above the relegation zone. This isn’t an anomaly; it’s their harsh reality. The team hasn’t secured a single victory in the Brazilian championship for 6 consecutive matches – that’s six! Their record stands at 4 losses and 2 draws. Their last Serie A win was back in early August, two months ago.Furthermore, if we examine the second half of the championship, the picture becomes even more disheartening. Atlético is the worst-performing team in this period, with zero wins and only one point from 5 matches. This is a complete failure. Their attack, which should be decisive, has gone silent. The team leads the league in shots taken – an average of 15.4 per game – yet they possess the second-worst conversion rate in the championship, scoring only one goal for every 16.9 shots. The numbers speak for themselves.Their main star, Hulk, has not found the net in nine matches, a significant problem for a team heavily reliant on its leader. Yes, they managed to snatch a 1-0 victory in the Copa Sudamericana against Bolívar, but how? A 91st-minute goal, a hard-fought win with only one shot on target throughout the entire match. That game sapped their energy but did nothing to resolve their systemic league problems. Additionally, their injury list is growing: key midfielder Allexsandre is out, and attacking player Cuello is also sidelined.

Mirassol’s Stellar Performance: A Season’s Revelation

Now, let’s turn our attention to their opponent. Mirassol is truly the revelation of this season. The team currently sits in fourth place, firmly within the Libertadores qualification zone. This isn’t a temporary surge but a well-deserved result of consistent performance. The “Lions” are unbeaten in six consecutive matches, securing four impressive victories in that run.Looking at their last 16 games in the Brasileirão, Mirassol has suffered only one defeat – against the formidable league leaders, Flamengo. In the other 15 matches, they boast an excellent record of 10 wins and 5 draws. This is the performance level of a top-tier club. While Atlético is the worst team in the second half of the season, Mirassol, on the other hand, is one of the best, having collected 13 out of a possible 15 points.The team is exceptionally well-organized, particularly in defense. In their last 5 matches, they have kept three clean sheets, two of which were away games against Fortaleza and Grêmio. Midfielder Danielzinho openly states that all the pressure in the upcoming match will be on the hosts, and he is absolutely right. Mirassol plays without the burden of expectation, consistently delivering quality and intelligent football.It’s also worth recalling their head-to-head encounter in the first round, which ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw, with Mirassol equalizing in the dying minutes. This speaks volumes about their character and their ability to fight until the very end. Crucially, key defender João Victor returns to the squad after serving his suspension. While Chico, the team’s top scorer, is likely to miss the match due to injury, his replacement, Christian, already found the net in the last round, demonstrating the depth in their attacking options.