Sarmiento Junin — Velez Sarsfield : Match Preview and Prediction for October 19,2025
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Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin: Defensive Resilience
Let’s begin with the home side. Sarmiento are a team battling for survival, which inherently means discipline and an impenetrable defense are paramount. Their recent match served as a textbook example of tactical resilience: an away fixture against River Plate at El Monumental, culminating in a clean 1-0 victory.
Analyzing Sarmiento’s Performance
Just consider these remarkable statistics! River Plate unleashed 28 shots, with 7 on target, and dominated possession with 74%. Yet, Sarmiento stood firm. Goalkeeper Lucas Acosta made 7 crucial saves, and the defense, marshaled by Facundo Sava, performed flawlessly. The team withstood immense pressure to secure all three points.
Consistent Defensive Strategy
This is no mere fluke; it’s a consistent pattern. Looking at ‘The Green’s’ last five outings, they’ve kept three clean sheets. In their two defeats (against Gimnasia and Talleres), they conceded only a single goal in each. This team knows how to absorb pressure without collapsing, preferring a rigid defensive approach. It’s anticipated that Sava will field the same lineup as against River, meaning we can expect the same highly organized and tenacious defensive unit.
League Table – Sarmiento’s Group
Injuries and Suspensions – Sarmiento Junin
- Injury Gastón González Key FW Player
10 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 28 out since2 matches missed - Injury Facundo Roncaglia Key DF Player22 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 4 out since1 match missed
- Injury John Renteria Reserve MF Player2 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 16 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Pablo Magnín Reserve FW Player12 matches played2 goals scoredApril 6 out since16 matches missed
Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield: Attacking Woes
Now turning our attention to Velez Sarsfield. While they currently occupy third place in the league table, which might seem impressive, our focus shifts to their attacking capabilities, where significant issues have emerged recently. Their last home match, a 1-2 defeat to Rosario Central, serves as a highly revealing indicator of these problems.
Poor Offensive Metrics
The statistics from that game loudly highlight Velez’s offensive struggles. They managed only 3 shots on target throughout the entire match and, critically, created zero ‘big chances.’ Their Expected Goals (xG) metric stood at a paltry 0.70. With such figures, it would be unrealistic to expect a goal-scoring spectacle when visiting a defensively resolute Sarmiento side.
Key Attacking Absences
However, the primary concern, the ‘cherry on top,’ is their significant personnel issues. Velez travels to Junin missing two pivotal attacking players. Striker Braian Romero is sidelined with ankle synovitis, and his attacking counterpart, 19-year-old Maher Carrizo, who has already netted 10 goals this season, is also injured. These are substantial blows to Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s team’s offensive potential. While midfielder Claudio Baez and forward Matias Pellegrini return from suspension, this doesn’t fully address the void. Notably, Pellegrini has yet to score in 27 appearances this season.
League Table – Velez’s Group
Injuries and Suspensions – Velez Sarsfield
- Suspension Rodrigo Aliendro Starting MF Player12 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 12 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Maher Carrizo Starting FW Player29 matches played10 goals scoredOctober 16 out since0 matches missed
- Injury Yago Gordon Starting DF Player24 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 17 out since5 matches missed
- Suspension Imanol Machuca Rotation FW Player21 matches played1 goal scoredSeptember 24 out since3 matches missed
- Injury Tomás Cavanagh Reserve DF Player4 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 20 out since4 matches missed
- Injury Joaquín García Reserve DF Player1 match played0 goals scoredMarch 29 out since30 matches missed
- Injury Thiago Fernández Reserve MF Player0 matches played0 goals scoredMarch 29 out since30 matches missed
- Injury Álvaro Montero Reserve GK Player2 matches played0 goals scoredSeptember 30 out since2 matches missed
Players Returning to Squad
- Suspension Claudio Báez Rotation MF Player25 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 7 out since1 match missed
- Suspension Matías Pellegrini Rotation FW Player27 matches played0 goals scoredOctober 7 out since1 match missed
Conclusion and Match Outlook
Bringing all these points together, we have Sarmiento – a team that has honed its defensive play to an almost automatic level, emphatically demonstrated by their clean sheet victory over River Plate. Their primary objective is to prevent goals, and they excel at it. Conversely, Velez Sarsfield displayed a complete lack of attacking prowess in their last fixture and are further hampered by the injuries of two key forwards.
Mark Thompson
