Match Overview: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

The La Liga Matchday 3 fixture between Alaves and Atletico Madrid is scheduled for August 30, taking place at the Mendizorrotza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. This preview offers a prediction, betting odds, and key statistics for the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid encounter.

Alaves

Alaves Recent Form

The Basque side’s start to the season has unfolded largely as expected. In the opening round, Eduardo Coudet’s squad secured a predictable 2-1 home victory against Levante. However, they then faced a 0-1 away defeat to Betis. Notably, this loss to the Sevillians brought an end to Alaves’ 4-match unbeaten streak in La Liga, which included three wins and one draw.

• Fewer than three goals have been scored in 11 of Alaves’ last 12 La Liga matches.
• At least one team failed to score in 6 of the club’s last 8 league encounters.
• At home, the Basque team boasts a 5-match unbeaten run in La Liga, with 3 wins and 2 draws.

Alaves Provisional Lineup (4-4-2)*

Antonio Sivera – Facundo Garcés, Jonny, Nahuel Tenaglia, Víctor Parada – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Pablo Ibañez, Carles Aleñá – Toni Martínez, Carlos Vicente.

Alaves Team News

Forward Lucas Boye is sidelined due to injury.

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid Early Season Struggles

The capital club has been the biggest disappointment at the start of the season. Despite not yet facing any strong opponents, Diego Simeone’s men have collected only 1 point from their opening two games. They first suffered a 1-2 away loss to Espanyol, followed by an unexpected 1-1 home draw against Elche. Interestingly, Atletico opened the scoring in both matches but failed to hold onto their lead. This marks the first time since Simeone’s appointment in 2011 that Atletico has accumulated so few points after the first two league fixtures.

• At least two goals have been scored in Atletico’s last 6 league matches.
• In their last 5 away La Liga games, the Madrid side has secured only 1 victory, alongside 1 draw and 3 defeats.
• The club has failed to score more than 1 goal in 6 of its last 8 away matches in La Liga.

Atletico Madrid Provisional Lineup (4-3-3)*

Jan Oblak – David Hancko, Robin Le Normand, Matteo Ruggeri, Marcos Llorente – João Cardoso, Pablo Barrios, Thiago Almada – Giuliano Simeone, Julián Álvarez, Alexander Sørloth.

Atletico Madrid Team News

Defender José María Giménez and midfielder Álex Baena are unavailable due to injuries.

Match Prediction: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

Match Analysis & Prediction Overview

Atletico Madrid’s season start has been underwhelming, especially considering they’ve faced a La Liga newcomer and last season’s 14th-placed team. In the upcoming match, they will contend with another side from the lower half of last season’s table, a team that conceded only 17 goals at home (the 3rd best record in La Liga 2024/25). Given Atletico’s attacking issues early in the tournament, it’s anticipated that Diego Simeone’s squad will once again find it challenging to secure all three points.

Alaves’ Strong Home Form

The Basque hosts are currently on a five-match unbeaten run at home in the league, having conceded just two goals during this impressive streak. Furthermore, Alaves has not lost to the Madrid side in their last three home encounters in La Liga, securing two wins and one draw. Remarkably, Atletico failed to score a single goal in any of those three visits.

Final Betting Tip

My prediction is “Alaves to win or draw” with odds of 2.05