Sri Lanka — Turkmenistan : Match Preview and Prediction for October 09,2025

Sri Lanka’s Recent Performance

Let’s examine the facts. It’s noteworthy that the Sri Lankan national team has avoided defeat in 4 of their last 5 matches. This is a crucial indicator for a team often underestimated by many bookmakers. Furthermore, they’ve remained unbeaten in 3 of their previous 5 home fixtures.

Internal Affairs and Federation’s Stance

Admittedly, the Football Federation of Sri Lanka (FFSL) is currently facing internal issues, including investigations and corruption allegations. However, Federation President Jaswar Umar emphatically states that the team is achieving success, attributing criticism to envy. He highlights the national team’s ascent in the FIFA world rankings, which is particularly impressive given their demanding schedule of international matches.

Dominant Qualifying Statistics

Delve into the team’s statistics for this qualifying campaign. Sri Lanka stands out, ranking first among 24 teams in terms of shots taken, total passes, accurate passes, interceptions, and successful duels. These figures strongly suggest the team’s proficiency in ball control and on-field dominance, consistently creating opportunities and engaging actively in battles for possession.

Turkmenistan’s Away Struggles

Now, let’s turn our attention to the visiting side. The Turkmenistan national team has been notably unconvincing in their away fixtures. The statistics paint a stark picture: they have failed to secure a victory in 12 of their last 15 away encounters. This represents a systemic issue that cannot be overlooked when analyzing the upcoming match.

Questionable Current Form

The team’s current form also raises significant concerns. Turkmenistan enters this match on a three-game winless streak. In September, they suffered defeats against Oman (1:2) and a strong Uzbekistan side (1:2), having previously drawn with Kyrgyzstan (1:1). These results hardly inspire confidence in an away victory.

Underwhelming Qualification Metrics

Turkmenistan’s statistical performance in the current qualification campaign is equally underwhelming. The team ranks 22nd out of 24 in terms of accurate crosses, highlighting significant issues in the final third of their attacks. Furthermore, they are third in the number of fouls committed and yellow cards received, suggesting a degree of physicality and disciplinary problems on the field.