Match Overview

The 7th round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers will see Spain take on Georgia on October 11 at the “Manuel Martínez Valero” stadium in Elche. This forecast provides an in-depth analysis, betting odds, and statistics for the Spain vs Georgia match.

Spain’s Dominant Qualification Campaign

The reigning European champions have made it clear they intend to qualify for the World Cup without undue stress. In their initial qualification matches, the Spanish squad secured convincing victories over Bulgaria and Turkey with an aggregate score of 9-0, both away from home. Luis de la Fuente’s team currently leads their group table unchallenged, extending their winning streak in World Cup qualifiers to six consecutive games, all of which have been clean sheets. Notably, the national team has consistently scored at least one goal in 45 consecutive World Cup qualifying matches. Furthermore, Spain has suffered only a single defeat in their last 73 matches in this tournament. 

• The team has never lost a home match in World Cup qualifiers.
• Spain has won with a handicap of (-1.5) in 8 of their last 10 home games in this tournament.
• The national team’s decisive streak in World Cup qualification extends to 9 matches (8 wins, 1 loss).

Spain’s Anticipated Starting Lineup (4-3-3)

Unai Simón – Pedro Porro, Robin Le Normand, Pau Cubarsí, Marc Cucurella – Mikel Merino, Pedri, Martín Zubimendi – Ferran Torres, Yeremy Pino, Mikel Oyarzabal. Due to injuries, defenders Dean Huijsen and Dani Carvajal, midfielders Rodri, Fabián Ruiz, and Fermín López, as well as forwards Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Álvaro Morata, will be unavailable for the national team.

Georgia’s Mixed Fortunes

Georgia’s pursuit of their first-ever World Cup berth has seen mixed results. They initially lost an important home fixture to Turkey (2-3) but then easily defeated Bulgaria (3-0) in front of their home crowd. This victory marked Georgia’s third win in their last four World Cup qualifying matches. Remarkably, Willy Sagnol’s charges have scored five goals across two rounds. The team now sits in second place in the group standings, with their decisive streak in the tournament reaching seven matches (3 wins, 4 losses). 

• The team has conceded goals in 20 of their last 22 World Cup qualifying matches.
• A minimum of two goals has been scored in Georgia’s last 6 matches in this tournament.
• The national team has failed to keep a clean sheet in 27 consecutive away matches in World Cup qualifiers.

Georgia’s Anticipated Starting Lineup (4-4-2)

Giorgi Mamardashvili – Otar Kakabadze, Guram Kashia, Saba Goglichidze, Irakli Azarovi – Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Zuriko Davitashvili – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Georges Mikautadze. The participation of forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia remains uncertain due to injury. Key defender Luka Lochoshvili will miss the game due to suspension.

Match Referee

Manfredas Lukjancukas (Lithuania)

Matches officiated – 16 (International matches, 2024/25-2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 68;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties awarded – 31%.

Spain vs Georgia Match Prediction

Spain is charging towards another World Cup appearance. In the initial two rounds of qualifiers, Luis de la Fuente’s squad decisively defeated Bulgaria and Turkey with an aggregate score of 9-0. Their winning streak in World Cup qualifiers has now extended to six matches, all of which have seen them keep a clean sheet. It’s worth noting that in their last outing, the team scored six goals, but such a high level of offensive output is generally rare. Prior to this, in their five other victorious World Cup qualifying matches, the Spanish team scored a maximum of four goals. Considering their home performance, Spain has secured ten victories in their last eleven home World Cup qualifiers, with no more than four goals scored in nine of those eleven games. The Georgian national team is by no means an easy opponent, but eight of their last twelve World Cup qualifying matches have ended in defeat. Nevertheless, Willy Sagnol’s team often engages in tight contests, where a single goal can sometimes decide the outcome. Consequently, a maximum of three goals has been scored in twelve of Georgia’s last fourteen World Cup qualifying encounters. Additionally, on the road, the national team has lost fourteen of their last twenty matches in this tournament, but five or more goals were only seen in two of those games. Based on all the presented facts, the forecast is: “Spain to Win and Total Under 4.5 Goals” with odds of 1.65. Author: Nikita Kudryavtsev