Match Overview

The match of the 8th round of the FIFA World Cup 2026 qualification tournament between the national teams of Northern Ireland and Germany will take place on October 13 at Windsor Park in Belfast. Northern Ireland – Germany: prediction and bet, odds, statistics.

Northern Ireland Team Analysis

In the previous round, the team defeated Slovakia (2:0) at home. Northern Ireland has suffered only one defeat in their last five World Cup qualifying matches (3 wins, 1 draw), and failed to score in only one game during this period. In Group A, Michael O’Neill’s charges sit in 2nd place, trailing leaders Germany only on additional indicators. However, two opponents have conceded fewer goals than Northern Ireland.

Northern Ireland Key Statistics

• The team scored in 5 out of their last 6 World Cup qualifying matches.
• At home in this tournament, the national team is undefeated in 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws).
• In their five previous home World Cup qualifying matches, Northern Ireland did not concede a single goal.

Northern Ireland’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Bailey Peacock-Farrell – Daniel Ballard, Conor Bradley, Trai Hume, Paddy McNair – Ethan Galbraith, Shea Charles, Justin Devenney, Isaac Price, Alistair McCann – Jamie Reid.

Germany Team Analysis

After losing to Slovakia at the start of the qualifiers, Julian Nagelsmann’s team secured two consecutive victories against Northern Ireland (3:1) and Luxembourg (4:0). Thus, the Germans have won 9 out of their last 10 matches in this tournament. Moreover, in 7 of these matches, the national team managed to keep a clean sheet. Germany leads Group A and also boasts the best scoring record in the group with 7 goals scored.

Germany Key Statistics

• The team scored at least two goals in 9 out of their last 10 World Cup qualifying matches.
• Away from home, the Germans have won 18 out of their last 19 World Cup qualifying matches (1 loss).
• The national team opened the scoring in 10 out of their last 11 away games in this tournament.

Germany’s Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Oliver Baumann – Jonathan Tah, Nico Schlotterbeck, Bote Baku, David Raum – Nadiem Amiri, Florian Wirtz, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry – Nick Woltemade.

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)

Referee Performance Stats

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25 – 2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellow) – 50;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.2

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties awarded – 42%.

Match Prediction: Northern Ireland – Germany

In the first round, the Germans achieved a 3:1 victory. Julian Nagelsmann’s side dominated the match, but only managed to break the Northern Irish resistance in the final third. Germany is favored in the upcoming match as well, but the islanders at home are a different story.

Northern Ireland’s Home Form

Northern Ireland has been undefeated at home for 5 World Cup qualifying matches. It is important to note that the team kept a clean sheet in all matches during this period. Moreover, in 10 out of their last 11 home games in this tournament, the team conceded no more than one goal.

Final Verdict and Betting Tip

The Northern Irish are very unyielding at home. Furthermore, the team puts up a fight even against very strong opponents. The Germans might win, but it’s unlikely they will score many goals. My prediction: “Germany Total Goals Under 3” at odds 1.40

Author Information

Author: Aleksey Tarabrin