Montenegro — Liechtenstein : Match Preview and Prediction for March 20,2025

Match Prediction and Betting Odds: Montenegro vs. Liechtenstein

According to bookmakers’ forecasts, Montenegro is considered the clear favorite for this upcoming friendly encounter against Liechtenstein. The odds for a Montenegro victory stand at 1.50, a draw at 4.00, and a Liechtenstein win at 7.50. While a straightforward “Montenegro Win” (W1) appears to be the most logical wager, given both teams’ current form and the hosts’ inconsistencies, the “Both Teams to Score – No” option at 1.40 might also be an appealing alternative. Considering the class disparity, betting on Montenegro with a (-1) handicap could be favorable, though one should factor in the hosts’ recent offensive struggles.

Current Form of the Competing Teams

Montenegro approaches this match following a string of unfavorable results, failing to secure a victory in their last three outings. Across their last five fixtures, they’ve suffered three defeats and registered two draws. Their defensive vulnerabilities are particularly concerning, as evidenced by heavy 0:4 losses against both the Faroe Islands and Croatia, and a 0:2 defeat to the Czech Republic. Even in a home game against Armenia, the Montenegrins couldn’t hold onto a lead, settling for a 2:2 draw. Under the guidance of Mirko Vučinić, the team displays spirit but struggles with defensive instability and insufficient goal-scoring efficiency.Liechtenstein, conversely, consistently occupies the role of an underdog in European football. In their last five matches, Konrad Fünfstück’s squad has endured five consecutive defeats, conceding 22 goals without scoring any in return: 0:4 to Kazakhstan, 0:5 to North Macedonia, 0:6 to Belgium, 0:4 to Scotland, and 0:3 to Wales. Despite their best efforts in defense, Liechtenstein rarely generates dangerous attacking opportunities and seldom poses a threat even to teams of a similar caliber.

Tactical Analysis of the Teams

Montenegro typically prioritizes ball possession and plays through the flanks. However, the team has recently faced difficulties in orchestrating attacking movements and frequently commits positional errors defensively. Vučinić is attempting to improve coordination between the lines, but a lack of consistent lineup and injuries to key players hinder their efforts to achieve desired outcomes. In home matches, the Montenegrins aim to dictate play, but often lose focus, leading to conceded goals even against technically inferior opponents.Liechtenstein’s strategy revolves around defensive solidity, emphasizing tight marking and occasional counter-attacks. Their primary offensive tool is set pieces, yet the absence of prominent attacking talents prevents them from expecting high-scoring games. Against stronger adversaries, the team quickly adopts a deep defensive posture, rarely venturing into the opponent’s half. Issues with transitioning from defense to attack and a low conversion rate make Liechtenstein one of the least productive national teams in Europe.

Head-to-Head History

Montenegro and Liechtenstein have met several times in both official and friendly matches, with Montenegro holding a significant advantage. In recent direct encounters, Montenegro has secured comfortable victories, preventing their opponents from scoring. For instance, during the Euro 2016 qualifiers, Montenegro defeated Liechtenstein twice with an aggregate score of 4:0. It’s noteworthy that even in home matches, Liechtenstein struggles to challenge stronger opponents, and they rarely earn points away from home.

Tournament Standing and Motivation

As this match is a friendly, the tournament motivation is minimal. Nevertheless, both teams are keen to improve their psychological state and discover optimal squad combinations. For Montenegro, this fixture represents an opportunity to halt their losing streak and regain confidence before upcoming official matches. For Liechtenstein, it’s a chance to display organized play against an opponent also facing challenges, and to try and avoid a heavy defeat.

Potential Injuries and Squad Absences

As of the preparation of this forecast, no reports of significant injuries have emerged from either team’s camp. However, Montenegro faces issues with squad depth, which impacts the quality of their play in both defense and attack. Liechtenstein traditionally operates with a limited pool of players, meaning even minor personnel losses could significantly affect their team performance.

Bookmaker Odds and Betting Recommendations

• Montenegro Win — 1.50
• Draw — 4.00
• Liechtenstein Win — 7.50
• Both Teams to Score — No: 1.40

Considering current form and statistics, a clean sheet victory for Montenegro appears to be the most probable outcome. Liechtenstein rarely creates chances and seldom scores, while Montenegro, despite its challenges, should capitalize on its superior class. The optimal bets are likely “Montenegro with a (-1) Handicap” or “Both Teams to Score – No.” For those seeking higher risk, a correct score prediction of 2:0 or 3:0 in favor of the hosts could be considered.

Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The match between Montenegro and Liechtenstein pits two teams currently not in their best form. However, the clear difference in class and recent head-to-head statistics unequivocally favor the hosts. Montenegro is expected to use this match to rebuild confidence and appease their supporters. Liechtenstein will most likely focus on defense once more, attempting to avoid a heavy loss, but their chances of securing a positive result are virtually nonexistent.