Chile — Peru : Match Preview and Prediction for October 11,2025

Chile’s Qualification Struggles

The Chilean national squad endured a dismal end to their CONMEBOL qualification campaign, ultimately propping up the table in the South American qualifiers. Under Nicolás Córdova, the team went a staggering six matches without scoring a goal (suffering four defeats and securing two draws), making his subsequent dismissal unsurprising. This poor run culminated in a crushing 0-3 away loss to Brazil and a home draw against Uruguay. Now, Sebastián Miranda, formerly with Chile’s U17 team, takes the helm with the daunting task of reconstruction. A key question will be how the home side intends to break their prolonged goalless drought, particularly given that five of their last six fixtures have seen a total of two or fewer goals.

World Cup Absence and Key Absences

Remarkably, this marks the third consecutive World Cup that Chile has failed to qualify for, a trend stretching back to 2018. Adding to their challenges, forward Lucas Assadi will miss the upcoming ‘Pacific Derby’ against Peru, sidelined by a viral infection.

Peru’s Managerial Change and Pragmatic Style

The ‘Incas’ also experienced a managerial change this winter, with Óscar Ibáñez-Holtzmann taking charge in February 2025. However, this switch has yet to yield a noticeable improvement in their on-field performance. The team continues to operate with a highly pragmatic and defensive approach, aiming to neutralize any opposition. This strategy contributes to their recent streak of five consecutive matches without scoring, a record only marginally better than Chile’s.

Generational Shift and Defensive Strength

With the team’s veteran players not getting any younger, a significant generational overhaul is becoming imperative for the ‘Incas’. Their CONMEBOL qualifying campaign concluded ingloriously just a month ago, marked by a 0-3 defeat away to Uruguay and a late 0-1 home loss against Paraguay. This left them second-to-last in the qualification standings, securing just one more point than Chile. Peru’s defensive capabilities are well-established; the ‘under’ market has been a successful wager in four of their last five encounters. Crucially, they report no major squad absences for this clash against their regional rivals.