Austria
09.10.2025 21:45 (GMT+2)
San Marino
[1] - 1.02
Х - 50.00
[2] - 60.00
1$
1.02
1$
60.00

Austria — San Marino : Match Preview and Prediction for October 09,2025

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Austria vs San Marino: 2026 World Cup Qualifier Prediction

Match Introduction

The 7th-round match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying tournament between the national teams of Austria and San Marino is scheduled for October 9 at the Ernst Happel Stadium in Vienna. This preview provides a detailed match analysis, betting odds, and statistics for the Austria vs. San Marino encounter.

Austria Team Analysis

Ralf Rangnick’s squad secured an away victory against Bosnia and Herzegovina (2:1) in their last fixture. As a result, Austria has extended their winning streak in the World Cup qualifiers to four consecutive matches, boasting a flawless record in the current campaign. Despite this perfect run, the national team currently holds second place in the group, trailing the Bosnians on goal difference, although they have played one fewer game.

Austria Key Statistics

  • The team has emerged victorious in 6 of their last 8 home matches in European qualifiers.
  • The national team has conceded goals in 8 of their previous 9 home games in World Cup qualifiers.
  • The Austrians have not scored more than three goals in 12 of their last 14 home qualifying matches for the World Cup.

Austria Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Alexander Schlager – Konrad Laimer, Philipp Lienhart, David Alaba, Phillipp Mwene – Romano Schmid, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Marcel Sabitzer, Florian Grillitsch – Marko Arnautović.

Midfielder Patrick Wimmer will be unavailable for the match due to suspension.

San Marino Team Analysis

Roberto Cevoli’s San Marino side has suffered defeat in every match of the current World Cup qualifying campaign. Furthermore, San Marino’s losing streak in European qualifiers has now reached an astonishing 58 matches, with the national team managing to score only one goal in their last ten outings. It’s also worth noting that in their two most recent games, San Marino conceded a combined ten goals against Bosnia and Herzegovina and Austria. The team currently occupies the bottom position in their group standings.

San Marino Key Statistics

  • The team has failed to score in their last eight away World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The national team has conceded at least four goals in 7 of their last 10 away games in European qualifiers.
  • San Marino has avoided defeat by more than four goals in 6 of their last 8 World Cup qualifying matches.

San Marino Predicted Lineup (4-5-1)

Edoardo Colombo – Filippo Fabbri, Michele Cevoli, Giacomo Valentini, Alberto Riccardi – Lorenzo Capicchioni, Samuele Zannoni, Marcello Mularoni, Andrea Contadini, Filippo Berardi – Nicola Nanni.

Midfielder Alessandro Golinucci will be absent due to suspension.

Match Official: Yigal Frid

Referee: Yigal Frid (Israel)

Matches refereed – 5 (International fixtures, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 22;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties awarded – 20%.

Austria vs San Marino Match Prediction

This fixture is unlikely to be challenging for the hosts, but in my view, San Marino might be able to avoid a truly crushing defeat. Even on home soil, the Austrians haven’t consistently displayed enough attacking prowess to suggest a goal-fest from Ralf Rangnick’s side. In their last 14 home World Cup qualifying matches, the national team has never managed to score more than four goals, even against perceived weaker opponents such as the Faroe Islands, Moldova, and Cyprus during this period.

San Marino is the lowest-ranked national team in UEFA and has not secured any points in World Cup qualifiers for a very long time. However, recently, the team has often managed to prevent their opponents from achieving excessively large victories. Moreover, in their last nine away World Cup qualifying matches, San Marino conceded no more than five goals, even when facing formidable teams like England, Poland, and the Czech Republic during this stretch.

Additionally, I believe the hosts will have their upcoming qualifier against Romania in mind and might not exert themselves to their full potential in this match. My prediction is: Austria Individual Total Goals Under 5.5 with odds of 2.10

Predictions for Austria vs San Marino Match on October 9, 2025

Aleksey Karpuk portrait
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Aleksey Karpuk
88 / 9 / 80 / ROI -0.1%

Expert Prediction: Austria Dominance Expected

Bookmakers are showing no mercy towards San Marino’s chances away to Austria. In Vienna, Rangnick’s team is expected to maintain its perfect run in the current qualifiers, as they need to widen the gap from Bosnia and Herzegovina to secure a direct ticket to the 2026 World Cup.

In their June encounter against San Marino (4:0), the Austrian national team frequently gave the underdog breaks in the opposition half, though they had four shots on target by the 27th minute (resulting in 4.16 xG). For the red-and-whites, consistent performance against Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina (both 2:1 wins) is more crucial, as Rangnick’s side had reserves in matches against direct competitors. The coaching staff also benefits from Alaba’s return, with the Real Madrid defender set to gain valuable minutes for the national team.

It’s clear that no surprises were expected from San Marino in the current qualification campaign, as this national team simply lacks the resources for significant development. By their sixth qualifying match, the sky-blues had conceded 18 goals while scoring just one. In September, Cevoli’s players also looked weak in a friendly against Malta (1:3).

Across three head-to-head matches between Austria and San Marino, the underdog has conceded a total of 15 goals. A motivated favorite is poised for a resounding success in Vienna.

Prediction
Austria to win with a handicap of (-4.5)
Odds
Coefficient
1.50
 

History of confrontations

Last matches Austria vs San Marino

Austria
San Marino

Other predictions

Sports betting from our team of predictors
Mark Thompson
Mark Thompson, a London-based journalist with 15 years of experience, is renowned for his deep knowledge of sports betting. His passion for football and analytical mind enable him to create accurate match predictions. Thompson regularly publishes articles revealing the intricacies of bookmaking. His ability to interpret statistics and assess team form is highly valued by readers and fellow professionals alike.
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